Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1280-1399 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, with top bins at 7-8% implied probabilities reflecting his steady 40-42 posts per day—anchored by March's resolved 1320-1359 total and early April's 41/day average through April 15 per XTracker data. This closely contested field underscores competitive dynamics from daily variances (30-50 posts) and potential spikes tied to viral political rants, Tesla announcements, or SpaceX developments, as seen in recent high-engagement threads on South African policies and AI hardware. Absent recent catalysts altering his cadence amid ongoing X platform dominance, traders eye April's full resolution and May previews like earnings for momentum shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi1320-1359 7.6%
1360-1399 7.0%
1280-1319 6.8%
1160-1199 6.8%
$304,286 Hac.
$304,286 Hac.
1 Haz 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
5%
1160-1199
7%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
7%
1320-1359
8%
1360-1399
7%
1400-1439
6%
1440-1479
6%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560-1599
2%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
2%
1320-1359 7.6%
1360-1399 7.0%
1280-1319 6.8%
1160-1199 6.8%
$304,286 Hac.
$304,286 Hac.
1 Haz 2026
<20
$14,695 Hac.
<1%
20-39
$13,449 Hac.
<1%
40-59
$9,467 Hac.
<1%
60-79
$15,833 Hac.
<1%
80-99
$8,683 Hac.
<1%
100-119
$7,257 Hac.
<1%
120-139
$4,827 Hac.
<1%
140-159
$7,215 Hac.
<1%
160-179
$7,907 Hac.
<1%
180-199
$5,565 Hac.
<1%
200-219
$5,195 Hac.
<1%
220-239
$7,631 Hac.
<1%
240-259
$7,397 Hac.
<1%
260-279
$6,662 Hac.
<1%
280-299
$3,594 Hac.
<1%
300-319
$5,043 Hac.
<1%
320-339
$8,210 Hac.
<1%
340-359
$3,409 Hac.
<1%
360-379
$3,372 Hac.
<1%
380-399
$4,088 Hac.
<1%
400-419
$4,176 Hac.
<1%
420-439
$4,668 Hac.
<1%
440-459
$3,767 Hac.
<1%
460-479
$4,961 Hac.
<1%
480-499
$8,072 Hac.
<1%
500-519
$4,844 Hac.
<1%
520-539
$3,405 Hac.
<1%
540-559
$2,620 Hac.
<1%
560-579
$2,605 Hac.
<1%
580-599
$3,623 Hac.
<1%
600-619
$6,194 Hac.
1%
620-639
$2,075 Hac.
<1%
640-659
$1,767 Hac.
<1%
660-679
$3,070 Hac.
<1%
680-699
$3,823 Hac.
<1%
700-719
$4,111 Hac.
1%
720-739
$2,128 Hac.
<1%
740-759
$1,555 Hac.
<1%
760-779
$2,514 Hac.
1%
780-799
$1,718 Hac.
1%
800-839
$1,621 Hac.
1%
840-879
$2,315 Hac.
1%
880-919
$2,595 Hac.
1%
920-959
$2,138 Hac.
1%
960-999
$2,581 Hac.
2%
1000-1039
$2,127 Hac.
2%
1040-1079
$3,223 Hac.
3%
1080-1119
$3,433 Hac.
3%
1120-1159
$2,582 Hac.
5%
1160-1199
$5,714 Hac.
7%
1200-1239
$2,762 Hac.
6%
1240-1279
$3,970 Hac.
6%
1280-1319
$4,535 Hac.
7%
1320-1359
$3,874 Hac.
8%
1360-1399
$4,662 Hac.
7%
1400-1439
$3,544 Hac.
6%
1440-1479
$3,151 Hac.
6%
1480-1519
$3,229 Hac.
4%
1520-1559
$2,313 Hac.
3%
1560-1599
$2,265 Hac.
2%
1600-1679
$2,577 Hac.
1%
1680-1759
$3,359 Hac.
1%
1760-1839
$2,665 Hac.
1%
1840-1919
$3,029 Hac.
2%
1920-1999
$4,564 Hac.
1%
2000+
$4,265 Hac.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1280-1399 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, with top bins at 7-8% implied probabilities reflecting his steady 40-42 posts per day—anchored by March's resolved 1320-1359 total and early April's 41/day average through April 15 per XTracker data. This closely contested field underscores competitive dynamics from daily variances (30-50 posts) and potential spikes tied to viral political rants, Tesla announcements, or SpaceX developments, as seen in recent high-engagement threads on South African policies and AI hardware. Absent recent catalysts altering his cadence amid ongoing X platform dominance, traders eye April's full resolution and May previews like earnings for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Hacim
$304,286Bitiş Tarihi
1 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1280-1399 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, with top bins at 7-8% implied probabilities reflecting his steady 40-42 posts per day—anchored by March's resolved 1320-1359 total and early April's 41/day average through April 15 per XTracker data. This closely contested field underscores competitive dynamics from daily variances (30-50 posts) and potential spikes tied to viral political rants, Tesla announcements, or SpaceX developments, as seen in recent high-engagement threads on South African policies and AI hardware. Absent recent catalysts altering his cadence amid ongoing X platform dominance, traders eye April's full resolution and May previews like earnings for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$304,286Bitiş Tarihi
1 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1280-1399 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, with top bins at 7-8% implied probabilities reflecting his steady 40-42 posts per day—anchored by March's resolved 1320-1359 total and early April's 41/day average through April 15 per XTracker data. This closely contested field underscores competitive dynamics from daily variances (30-50 posts) and potential spikes tied to viral political rants, Tesla announcements, or SpaceX developments, as seen in recent high-engagement threads on South African policies and AI hardware. Absent recent catalysts altering his cadence amid ongoing X platform dominance, traders eye April's full resolution and May previews like earnings for momentum shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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