Texas' 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, features a lopsided general election matchup between GOP nominee state Rep. Steve Toth—who decisively ousted four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw with 56% in the March 3 primary—and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. Toth's primary win highlights the district's conservative base in the Houston suburbs, where Republicans have won by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a partisan voting index around R+15. Absent recent polling or developments indicating a competitive race, trader consensus prices reflect the steep barriers for Democrats in this safe seat, with the November 3 ballot as the key date; national House control dynamics add marginal pressure but favor GOP retention.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican Party
$3,917 Hac.
87%
Democratic Party
$4,114 Hac.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, features a lopsided general election matchup between GOP nominee state Rep. Steve Toth—who decisively ousted four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw with 56% in the March 3 primary—and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. Toth's primary win highlights the district's conservative base in the Houston suburbs, where Republicans have won by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a partisan voting index around R+15. Absent recent polling or developments indicating a competitive race, trader consensus prices reflect the steep barriers for Democrats in this safe seat, with the November 3 ballot as the key date; national House control dynamics add marginal pressure but favor GOP retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Hacim
$8,031Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, features a lopsided general election matchup between GOP nominee state Rep. Steve Toth—who decisively ousted four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw with 56% in the March 3 primary—and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. Toth's primary win highlights the district's conservative base in the Houston suburbs, where Republicans have won by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a partisan voting index around R+15. Absent recent polling or developments indicating a competitive race, trader consensus prices reflect the steep barriers for Democrats in this safe seat, with the November 3 ballot as the key date; national House control dynamics add marginal pressure but favor GOP retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$8,031Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, features a lopsided general election matchup between GOP nominee state Rep. Steve Toth—who decisively ousted four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw with 56% in the March 3 primary—and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie. Toth's primary win highlights the district's conservative base in the Houston suburbs, where Republicans have won by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a partisan voting index around R+15. Absent recent polling or developments indicating a competitive race, trader consensus prices reflect the steep barriers for Democrats in this safe seat, with the November 3 ballot as the key date; national House control dynamics add marginal pressure but favor GOP retention.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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