Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 Texas primary, bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House win in TX-07, rated Solidly Democratic by the Cook Political Report following 2025 redistricting that preserved her Houston-area base largely intact. The Republican primary fragmented into a May 26 runoff between Tina Cohen and Alexander Hale, underscoring a weak challenger field lacking national prominence or fundraising firepower compared to Fletcher's proven incumbency advantage and double-digit past margins. While a breakout GOP nominee, midterm Republican turnout surge, or Democratic scandal could shift dynamics, such barriers keep Republican odds slim ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTX-07 House Election Winner
TX-07 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
$4,486 Hac.
93%
Republican Party
$1,983 Hac.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 Texas primary, bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House win in TX-07, rated Solidly Democratic by the Cook Political Report following 2025 redistricting that preserved her Houston-area base largely intact. The Republican primary fragmented into a May 26 runoff between Tina Cohen and Alexander Hale, underscoring a weak challenger field lacking national prominence or fundraising firepower compared to Fletcher's proven incumbency advantage and double-digit past margins. While a breakout GOP nominee, midterm Republican turnout surge, or Democratic scandal could shift dynamics, such barriers keep Republican odds slim ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Hacim
$6,468Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 Texas primary, bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House win in TX-07, rated Solidly Democratic by the Cook Political Report following 2025 redistricting that preserved her Houston-area base largely intact. The Republican primary fragmented into a May 26 runoff between Tina Cohen and Alexander Hale, underscoring a weak challenger field lacking national prominence or fundraising firepower compared to Fletcher's proven incumbency advantage and double-digit past margins. While a breakout GOP nominee, midterm Republican turnout surge, or Democratic scandal could shift dynamics, such barriers keep Republican odds slim ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$6,468Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 Texas primary, bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House win in TX-07, rated Solidly Democratic by the Cook Political Report following 2025 redistricting that preserved her Houston-area base largely intact. The Republican primary fragmented into a May 26 runoff between Tina Cohen and Alexander Hale, underscoring a weak challenger field lacking national prominence or fundraising firepower compared to Fletcher's proven incumbency advantage and double-digit past margins. While a breakout GOP nominee, midterm Republican turnout surge, or Democratic scandal could shift dynamics, such barriers keep Republican odds slim ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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