The solidly Republican WI-07 district (Cook PVI R+11), long a GOP stronghold with past margins exceeding 20 points under Rep. Tom Tiffany, drives trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 86% following his September 2025 gubernatorial bid that opened the seat. A crowded Republican primary features well-funded contenders like Paul Wassgren ($1.6M raised, $1.4M cash on hand) and Kevin Hermening ($1M+ raised), vastly outpacing Democrats such as Fred Clark and Ginger Murray. Absent public polling, odds reflect nonpartisan ratings—Solid R (Cook), Safe R (Sabato)—and GOP fundraising dominance totaling $5.6M versus Democrats'. No major developments in the past 30 days; August 11 primaries loom before the November 3 general.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWI-07 House Election Winner
WI-07 House Election Winner
$14,176 Hac.
$14,176 Hac.
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
$14,176 Hac.
$14,176 Hac.
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican WI-07 district (Cook PVI R+11), long a GOP stronghold with past margins exceeding 20 points under Rep. Tom Tiffany, drives trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 86% following his September 2025 gubernatorial bid that opened the seat. A crowded Republican primary features well-funded contenders like Paul Wassgren ($1.6M raised, $1.4M cash on hand) and Kevin Hermening ($1M+ raised), vastly outpacing Democrats such as Fred Clark and Ginger Murray. Absent public polling, odds reflect nonpartisan ratings—Solid R (Cook), Safe R (Sabato)—and GOP fundraising dominance totaling $5.6M versus Democrats'. No major developments in the past 30 days; August 11 primaries loom before the November 3 general.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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