**Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85% for the TX-31 House election winner, driven by incumbent John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory with 59.7%—avoiding a runoff despite nine challengers—and the district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index.** This safe Republican seat, rated Solid R by forecasters including Cook and Sabato's Crystal Ball, has seen Carter win general elections by 20+ points historically, as in his 64.4% 2024 margin. Democrat Justin Early, the primary winner, trails in fundraising ($83,000 raised vs. Carter's $1.1 million), with no public polls signaling competitiveness. Stable ratings through mid-April and the November 3 general election reinforce the lopsided odds, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTX -31 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
TX -31 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$13,946 Hac.
$13,946 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
85%
Demokrat Parti
15%
$13,946 Hac.
$13,946 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$8,720 Hac.
85%
Demokrat Parti
$5,226 Hac.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85% for the TX-31 House election winner, driven by incumbent John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory with 59.7%—avoiding a runoff despite nine challengers—and the district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index.** This safe Republican seat, rated Solid R by forecasters including Cook and Sabato's Crystal Ball, has seen Carter win general elections by 20+ points historically, as in his 64.4% 2024 margin. Democrat Justin Early, the primary winner, trails in fundraising ($83,000 raised vs. Carter's $1.1 million), with no public polls signaling competitiveness. Stable ratings through mid-April and the November 3 general election reinforce the lopsided odds, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Hacim
$13,946Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85% for the TX-31 House election winner, driven by incumbent John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory with 59.7%—avoiding a runoff despite nine challengers—and the district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index.** This safe Republican seat, rated Solid R by forecasters including Cook and Sabato's Crystal Ball, has seen Carter win general elections by 20+ points historically, as in his 64.4% 2024 margin. Democrat Justin Early, the primary winner, trails in fundraising ($83,000 raised vs. Carter's $1.1 million), with no public polls signaling competitiveness. Stable ratings through mid-April and the November 3 general election reinforce the lopsided odds, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$13,946Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85% for the TX-31 House election winner, driven by incumbent John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory with 59.7%—avoiding a runoff despite nine challengers—and the district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index.** This safe Republican seat, rated Solid R by forecasters including Cook and Sabato's Crystal Ball, has seen Carter win general elections by 20+ points historically, as in his 64.4% 2024 margin. Democrat Justin Early, the primary winner, trails in fundraising ($83,000 raised vs. Carter's $1.1 million), with no public polls signaling competitiveness. Stable ratings through mid-April and the November 3 general election reinforce the lopsided odds, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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