Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore's strong re-election campaign in the solidly Democratic WI-04 district, rated D+26 PVI and the 24th most Democratic nationwide, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party. Moore, who won 75% in 2024, dominates Democratic primary fundraising ahead of the August 11 contest against minor challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republican Purnima Nath stands alone in her primary with negligible resources. Recent April spring election precincts showed WI-04 margins expanding to D+59 from 2024's D+53, reinforcing urban Milwaukee's reliable Democratic base. GOP odds at 5.5% reflect steep barriers; realistic shifts would require a Moore primary upset yielding a weak nominee, personal scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national Republican wave.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$15,426 Hac.
$15,426 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$15,426 Hac.
$15,426 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
$4,825 Hac.
93%
Republican Party
$10,601 Hac.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore's strong re-election campaign in the solidly Democratic WI-04 district, rated D+26 PVI and the 24th most Democratic nationwide, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party. Moore, who won 75% in 2024, dominates Democratic primary fundraising ahead of the August 11 contest against minor challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republican Purnima Nath stands alone in her primary with negligible resources. Recent April spring election precincts showed WI-04 margins expanding to D+59 from 2024's D+53, reinforcing urban Milwaukee's reliable Democratic base. GOP odds at 5.5% reflect steep barriers; realistic shifts would require a Moore primary upset yielding a weak nominee, personal scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Hacim
$15,426Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore's strong re-election campaign in the solidly Democratic WI-04 district, rated D+26 PVI and the 24th most Democratic nationwide, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party. Moore, who won 75% in 2024, dominates Democratic primary fundraising ahead of the August 11 contest against minor challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republican Purnima Nath stands alone in her primary with negligible resources. Recent April spring election precincts showed WI-04 margins expanding to D+59 from 2024's D+53, reinforcing urban Milwaukee's reliable Democratic base. GOP odds at 5.5% reflect steep barriers; realistic shifts would require a Moore primary upset yielding a weak nominee, personal scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$15,426Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore's strong re-election campaign in the solidly Democratic WI-04 district, rated D+26 PVI and the 24th most Democratic nationwide, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party. Moore, who won 75% in 2024, dominates Democratic primary fundraising ahead of the August 11 contest against minor challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republican Purnima Nath stands alone in her primary with negligible resources. Recent April spring election precincts showed WI-04 margins expanding to D+59 from 2024's D+53, reinforcing urban Milwaukee's reliable Democratic base. GOP odds at 5.5% reflect steep barriers; realistic shifts would require a Moore primary upset yielding a weak nominee, personal scandal, health issues, or unprecedented national Republican wave.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular