Trader consensus prices "No" at 84.5% for Eric Swalwell facing criminal charges by May 31, reflecting the early-stage nature of recent sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, which surfaced in the past week and prompted probes by the Department of Justice, Los Angeles authorities, and Manhattan District Attorney's office. Swalwell, who resigned from Congress and suspended his California governor bid amid the claims—which he denies as a political hit job—has not been indicted, with investigations just launching and requiring evidence review, potential grand jury proceedings, and prosecutorial discretion that typically span months. Historical precedents like prior uncharged controversies, including mortgage fraud referrals and past FBI inquiries, reinforce skepticism of swift action within the six-week window.