Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in U.S. federal court in New York on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses. Captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation and extradited to New York, he and his wife have pleaded not guilty and intend to contest the case on head-of-state immunity grounds, the legality of his apprehension, and jurisdictional issues. A September 2, 2026, motions deadline and November 17 hearing precede the trial, with additional pretrial steps extending into 2027. Traders assign 77% probability to “No” due to the extended timeline before any verdict, the narrow December 31, 2027, resolution window, historical challenges in securing convictions on every count in complex narco-terrorism prosecutions, and the realistic prospect of plea negotiations, partial acquittals, or unresolved appeals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено23% шанс
$132,738 Обс.
$132,738 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
23% шанс
$132,738 Обс.
$132,738 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in U.S. federal court in New York on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses. Captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation and extradited to New York, he and his wife have pleaded not guilty and intend to contest the case on head-of-state immunity grounds, the legality of his apprehension, and jurisdictional issues. A September 2, 2026, motions deadline and November 17 hearing precede the trial, with additional pretrial steps extending into 2027. Traders assign 77% probability to “No” due to the extended timeline before any verdict, the narrow December 31, 2027, resolution window, historical challenges in securing convictions on every count in complex narco-terrorism prosecutions, and the realistic prospect of plea negotiations, partial acquittals, or unresolved appeals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$132,738Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in U.S. federal court in New York on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses. Captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation and extradited to New York, he and his wife have pleaded not guilty and intend to contest the case on head-of-state immunity grounds, the legality of his apprehension, and jurisdictional issues. A September 2, 2026, motions deadline and November 17 hearing precede the trial, with additional pretrial steps extending into 2027. Traders assign 77% probability to “No” due to the extended timeline before any verdict, the narrow December 31, 2027, resolution window, historical challenges in securing convictions on every count in complex narco-terrorism prosecutions, and the realistic prospect of plea negotiations, partial acquittals, or unresolved appeals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$132,738Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in U.S. federal court in New York on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses. Captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation and extradited to New York, he and his wife have pleaded not guilty and intend to contest the case on head-of-state immunity grounds, the legality of his apprehension, and jurisdictional issues. A September 2, 2026, motions deadline and November 17 hearing precede the trial, with additional pretrial steps extending into 2027. Traders assign 77% probability to “No” due to the extended timeline before any verdict, the narrow December 31, 2027, resolution window, historical challenges in securing convictions on every count in complex narco-terrorism prosecutions, and the realistic prospect of plea negotiations, partial acquittals, or unresolved appeals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання