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icon for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

icon for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

$3,609,785 Обс.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$3,609,785 Обс.

Polymarket

September 30

$1,101,350 Обс.

1%

December 31

$857,769 Обс.

6%

June 30, 2027

$49,001 Обс.

35%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito’s explicit August 2026 statement to the Wall Street Journal that he intends to serve another Supreme Court term has anchored trader expectations against an imminent retirement announcement. The comment followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming his departure, which the outlet quickly retracted after the Court confirmed no such announcement existed. At age 76, Alito remains subject to periodic speculation alongside Clarence Thomas, particularly among some conservatives seeking additional lifetime appointments during a favorable Senate window. No subsequent statements, health updates, or procedural signals have altered that stance as the new term approaches in October. Market pricing reflects the absence of verifiable catalysts for a September or near-term exit while acknowledging that justices control their own timing and unexpected developments could still intervene before any specific resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Обсяг
$3,609,785
Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito’s explicit August 2026 statement to the Wall Street Journal that he intends to serve another Supreme Court term has anchored trader expectations against an imminent retirement announcement. The comment followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming his departure, which the outlet quickly retracted after the Court confirmed no such announcement existed. At age 76, Alito remains subject to periodic speculation alongside Clarence Thomas, particularly among some conservatives seeking additional lifetime appointments during a favorable Senate window. No subsequent statements, health updates, or procedural signals have altered that stance as the new term approaches in October. Market pricing reflects the absence of verifiable catalysts for a September or near-term exit while acknowledging that justices control their own timing and unexpected developments could still intervene before any specific resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Обсяг
$3,609,785
Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «June 30, 2027» з 35%, далі «December 31» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?» згенерував $3.6 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 17, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?» — «June 30, 2027» з 35%. Наступний — «December 31» з 6%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.