Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.2% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's structural resilience forged through economic interdependence, the arduous Article 50 withdrawal process demonstrated by Brexit, and absence of any member state pursuing exit since 2020. Recent European Commission actions, including March 31 reinforcements to the EU Emissions Trading System for market stability and March 19 summit deadlines to bolster the single market amid global pressures, underscore ongoing integration efforts rather than fragmentation. No credible diplomatic ruptures, referendums, or no-confidence votes have emerged in the past 30 days. Realistic shifts could arise from a cascade of Article 50 invocations triggered by severe debt crises in major economies like France or Italy, or escalated geopolitical fractures, though such barriers remain formidable before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEU dissolves before 2027?
EU dissolves before 2027?
$161,975 Обс.
$161,975 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$161,975 Обс.
$161,975 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.2% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's structural resilience forged through economic interdependence, the arduous Article 50 withdrawal process demonstrated by Brexit, and absence of any member state pursuing exit since 2020. Recent European Commission actions, including March 31 reinforcements to the EU Emissions Trading System for market stability and March 19 summit deadlines to bolster the single market amid global pressures, underscore ongoing integration efforts rather than fragmentation. No credible diplomatic ruptures, referendums, or no-confidence votes have emerged in the past 30 days. Realistic shifts could arise from a cascade of Article 50 invocations triggered by severe debt crises in major economies like France or Italy, or escalated geopolitical fractures, though such barriers remain formidable before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
Обсяг
$161,975Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.2% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's structural resilience forged through economic interdependence, the arduous Article 50 withdrawal process demonstrated by Brexit, and absence of any member state pursuing exit since 2020. Recent European Commission actions, including March 31 reinforcements to the EU Emissions Trading System for market stability and March 19 summit deadlines to bolster the single market amid global pressures, underscore ongoing integration efforts rather than fragmentation. No credible diplomatic ruptures, referendums, or no-confidence votes have emerged in the past 30 days. Realistic shifts could arise from a cascade of Article 50 invocations triggered by severe debt crises in major economies like France or Italy, or escalated geopolitical fractures, though such barriers remain formidable before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$161,975Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.2% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's structural resilience forged through economic interdependence, the arduous Article 50 withdrawal process demonstrated by Brexit, and absence of any member state pursuing exit since 2020. Recent European Commission actions, including March 31 reinforcements to the EU Emissions Trading System for market stability and March 19 summit deadlines to bolster the single market amid global pressures, underscore ongoing integration efforts rather than fragmentation. No credible diplomatic ruptures, referendums, or no-confidence votes have emerged in the past 30 days. Realistic shifts could arise from a cascade of Article 50 invocations triggered by severe debt crises in major economies like France or Italy, or escalated geopolitical fractures, though such barriers remain formidable before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання