Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at current levels through December 11 and directly averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure cleared the Senate 90-6 and the House 370-48 with bipartisan support, reflecting broad agreement to sidestep disruptions ahead of the midterms after multiple FY2026 funding gaps. This legislative action accounts for the overwhelming trader consensus against a lapse. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether unforeseen legal challenges to the CR or an unprecedented reversal of enacted law could intervene before the new fiscal year begins, though such developments lack precedent in recent cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 1, 2026
1% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at current levels through December 11 and directly averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure cleared the Senate 90-6 and the House 370-48 with bipartisan support, reflecting broad agreement to sidestep disruptions ahead of the midterms after multiple FY2026 funding gaps. This legislative action accounts for the overwhelming trader consensus against a lapse. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether unforeseen legal challenges to the CR or an unprecedented reversal of enacted law could intervene before the new fiscal year begins, though such developments lack precedent in recent cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,532Дата завершення
Oct 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at current levels through December 11 and directly averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure cleared the Senate 90-6 and the House 370-48 with bipartisan support, reflecting broad agreement to sidestep disruptions ahead of the midterms after multiple FY2026 funding gaps. This legislative action accounts for the overwhelming trader consensus against a lapse. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether unforeseen legal challenges to the CR or an unprecedented reversal of enacted law could intervene before the new fiscal year begins, though such developments lack precedent in recent cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,532Дата завершення
Oct 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at current levels through December 11 and directly averting any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure cleared the Senate 90-6 and the House 370-48 with bipartisan support, reflecting broad agreement to sidestep disruptions ahead of the midterms after multiple FY2026 funding gaps. This legislative action accounts for the overwhelming trader consensus against a lapse. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether unforeseen legal challenges to the CR or an unprecedented reversal of enacted law could intervene before the new fiscal year begins, though such developments lack precedent in recent cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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