Recent upward revisions to Germany’s 2026 GDP forecasts—to 1.3–1.4 percent—stem from stronger-than-expected H1 growth (0.4 percent and 0.3 percent q/q) driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. These factors support trader expectations for a solid Q3 print, with the 1.3 percent-plus outcome leading at 40 percent. Countervailing pressures include low Rhine water levels likely trimming activity by around 0.2 percentage points, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and subdued private consumption amid 2.7–2.9 percent inflation. Improving business sentiment and leading indicators create offsetting momentum, leaving the three central bands closely contested as markets weigh temporary drags against the broader cyclical recovery.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1.3%+ 40%
1.0-1.2% 32%
0.7-0.9% 31%
≤0.0% <1%
$45,873 Обс.
$45,873 Обс.
Oct 30, 2026
≤0.0%
1%
0.1-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.6%
1%
0.7-0.9%
31%
1.0-1.2%
32%
1.3%+
40%
1.3%+ 40%
1.0-1.2% 32%
0.7-0.9% 31%
≤0.0% <1%
$45,873 Обс.
$45,873 Обс.
Oct 30, 2026
≤0.0%
$1,908 Обс.
1%
0.1-0.3%
$2,032 Обс.
1%
0.4-0.6%
$1,089 Обс.
1%
0.7-0.9%
$7,851 Обс.
31%
1.0-1.2%
$24,968 Обс.
32%
1.3%+
$8,024 Обс.
40%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent upward revisions to Germany’s 2026 GDP forecasts—to 1.3–1.4 percent—stem from stronger-than-expected H1 growth (0.4 percent and 0.3 percent q/q) driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. These factors support trader expectations for a solid Q3 print, with the 1.3 percent-plus outcome leading at 40 percent. Countervailing pressures include low Rhine water levels likely trimming activity by around 0.2 percentage points, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and subdued private consumption amid 2.7–2.9 percent inflation. Improving business sentiment and leading indicators create offsetting momentum, leaving the three central bands closely contested as markets weigh temporary drags against the broader cyclical recovery.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$45,873Дата завершення
Oct 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent upward revisions to Germany’s 2026 GDP forecasts—to 1.3–1.4 percent—stem from stronger-than-expected H1 growth (0.4 percent and 0.3 percent q/q) driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. These factors support trader expectations for a solid Q3 print, with the 1.3 percent-plus outcome leading at 40 percent. Countervailing pressures include low Rhine water levels likely trimming activity by around 0.2 percentage points, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and subdued private consumption amid 2.7–2.9 percent inflation. Improving business sentiment and leading indicators create offsetting momentum, leaving the three central bands closely contested as markets weigh temporary drags against the broader cyclical recovery.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$45,873Дата завершення
Oct 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent upward revisions to Germany’s 2026 GDP forecasts—to 1.3–1.4 percent—stem from stronger-than-expected H1 growth (0.4 percent and 0.3 percent q/q) driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. These factors support trader expectations for a solid Q3 print, with the 1.3 percent-plus outcome leading at 40 percent. Countervailing pressures include low Rhine water levels likely trimming activity by around 0.2 percentage points, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and subdued private consumption amid 2.7–2.9 percent inflation. Improving business sentiment and leading indicators create offsetting momentum, leaving the three central bands closely contested as markets weigh temporary drags against the broader cyclical recovery.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання