Recent model consensus from sources including GFS runs positions a maximum of 20°C as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam on September 11, driven by mild southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain, consistent with observed trends of below-average September warmth this week. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential for 21°C or higher due to the stabilizing influence of Atlantic air and precipitation, while downside risk below 19°C remains constrained by the baseline warmth. Updated short-range forecasts and any late model shifts ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variables for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
20°C 60%
21°C 29%
19°C 9%
22°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
60%
21°C
29%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 60%
21°C 29%
19°C 9%
22°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$154 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$146 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$166 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$189 Обс.
2%
18°C
$225 Обс.
3%
19°C
$470 Обс.
9%
20°C
$1,539 Обс.
60%
21°C
$1,803 Обс.
29%
22°C
$253 Обс.
5%
23°C
$485 Обс.
1%
24°C or higher
$361 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS runs positions a maximum of 20°C as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam on September 11, driven by mild southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain, consistent with observed trends of below-average September warmth this week. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential for 21°C or higher due to the stabilizing influence of Atlantic air and precipitation, while downside risk below 19°C remains constrained by the baseline warmth. Updated short-range forecasts and any late model shifts ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variables for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,609Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS runs positions a maximum of 20°C as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam on September 11, driven by mild southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain, consistent with observed trends of below-average September warmth this week. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential for 21°C or higher due to the stabilizing influence of Atlantic air and precipitation, while downside risk below 19°C remains constrained by the baseline warmth. Updated short-range forecasts and any late model shifts ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variables for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,609Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS runs positions a maximum of 20°C as the most probable outcome for Amsterdam on September 11, driven by mild southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 19–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain, consistent with observed trends of below-average September warmth this week. Ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential for 21°C or higher due to the stabilizing influence of Atlantic air and precipitation, while downside risk below 19°C remains constrained by the baseline warmth. Updated short-range forecasts and any late model shifts ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variables for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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