Recent weather observations and forecast models for Busan on September 11, 2026, show partly cloudy skies with northeast winds sustaining daytime highs near 29°C, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official monitoring indicates stable atmospheric conditions with limited cloud cover and dew points supporting efficient surface heating, consistent with late-summer patterns where peaks can exceed seasonal averages of around 26°C. Trader consensus reflects this data-driven outlook, with real capital at risk favoring the threshold that matches current model runs. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected increases in cloudiness or wind strengthen enough to suppress the peak below 29°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Busan on September 11?
29°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$26,607 Обс.
$26,607 Обс.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
29°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$26,607 Обс.
$26,607 Обс.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather observations and forecast models for Busan on September 11, 2026, show partly cloudy skies with northeast winds sustaining daytime highs near 29°C, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official monitoring indicates stable atmospheric conditions with limited cloud cover and dew points supporting efficient surface heating, consistent with late-summer patterns where peaks can exceed seasonal averages of around 26°C. Trader consensus reflects this data-driven outlook, with real capital at risk favoring the threshold that matches current model runs. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected increases in cloudiness or wind strengthen enough to suppress the peak below 29°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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