Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Denver's highest temperature on August 24 shows tight clustering around 90–93°F, with 90–91°F holding a slight 44.5% implied probability edge. This reflects model uncertainty in short-range forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service, where subtle differences in afternoon mixing, boundary-layer moisture, and Front Range upslope flow can shift peak readings by 1–3°F. Denver's 5,280-foot elevation amplifies diurnal swings, while any late-day cloud cover or weak thunderstorm activity—common in late August—could cap the high below 92°F. Official observations from the downtown station will resolve the market, with final data releases expected by evening on the 24th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on August 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 24?
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 38%
88-89°F 10%
86-87°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
3%
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 38%
88-89°F 10%
86-87°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
$5 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$5 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$5 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$45 Обс.
2%
86-87°F
$60 Обс.
6%
88-89°F
$43 Обс.
10%
90-91°F
$190 Обс.
45%
92-93°F
$171 Обс.
38%
94-95°F
$37 Обс.
5%
96-97°F
$5 Обс.
3%
98°F or higher
$45 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Denver's highest temperature on August 24 shows tight clustering around 90–93°F, with 90–91°F holding a slight 44.5% implied probability edge. This reflects model uncertainty in short-range forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service, where subtle differences in afternoon mixing, boundary-layer moisture, and Front Range upslope flow can shift peak readings by 1–3°F. Denver's 5,280-foot elevation amplifies diurnal swings, while any late-day cloud cover or weak thunderstorm activity—common in late August—could cap the high below 92°F. Official observations from the downtown station will resolve the market, with final data releases expected by evening on the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$612Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Denver's highest temperature on August 24 shows tight clustering around 90–93°F, with 90–91°F holding a slight 44.5% implied probability edge. This reflects model uncertainty in short-range forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service, where subtle differences in afternoon mixing, boundary-layer moisture, and Front Range upslope flow can shift peak readings by 1–3°F. Denver's 5,280-foot elevation amplifies diurnal swings, while any late-day cloud cover or weak thunderstorm activity—common in late August—could cap the high below 92°F. Official observations from the downtown station will resolve the market, with final data releases expected by evening on the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$612Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Denver's highest temperature on August 24 shows tight clustering around 90–93°F, with 90–91°F holding a slight 44.5% implied probability edge. This reflects model uncertainty in short-range forecasts from NOAA and the National Weather Service, where subtle differences in afternoon mixing, boundary-layer moisture, and Front Range upslope flow can shift peak readings by 1–3°F. Denver's 5,280-foot elevation amplifies diurnal swings, while any late-day cloud cover or weak thunderstorm activity—common in late August—could cap the high below 92°F. Official observations from the downtown station will resolve the market, with final data releases expected by evening on the 24th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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