Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight persistent cloud cover and high precipitation chances for Guangzhou on August 24, driven by monsoon influences and potential tropical moisture, which limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 31–33°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 33°C and 34°C (both 26.5%), as traders weigh ensemble model outputs showing suppressed maxima against historical August averages around 33.1°C. Key differentiators include variations in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, and steering patterns that could allow brief clearing for a 34°C spike or heavier downpours holding readings at 32°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
33°C 27%
35°C or higher 21%
34°C 20%
32°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
12%
32°C
18%
33°C
27%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
21%
33°C 27%
35°C or higher 21%
34°C 20%
32°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
1%
29°C
$15 Обс.
1%
30°C
$61 Обс.
8%
31°C
$0 Обс.
12%
32°C
$0 Обс.
18%
33°C
$61 Обс.
27%
34°C
$30 Обс.
27%
35°C or higher
$76 Обс.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight persistent cloud cover and high precipitation chances for Guangzhou on August 24, driven by monsoon influences and potential tropical moisture, which limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 31–33°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 33°C and 34°C (both 26.5%), as traders weigh ensemble model outputs showing suppressed maxima against historical August averages around 33.1°C. Key differentiators include variations in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, and steering patterns that could allow brief clearing for a 34°C spike or heavier downpours holding readings at 32°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$244Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight persistent cloud cover and high precipitation chances for Guangzhou on August 24, driven by monsoon influences and potential tropical moisture, which limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 31–33°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 33°C and 34°C (both 26.5%), as traders weigh ensemble model outputs showing suppressed maxima against historical August averages around 33.1°C. Key differentiators include variations in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, and steering patterns that could allow brief clearing for a 34°C spike or heavier downpours holding readings at 32°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$244Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight persistent cloud cover and high precipitation chances for Guangzhou on August 24, driven by monsoon influences and potential tropical moisture, which limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 31–33°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 33°C and 34°C (both 26.5%), as traders weigh ensemble model outputs showing suppressed maxima against historical August averages around 33.1°C. Key differentiators include variations in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, and steering patterns that could allow brief clearing for a 34°C spike or heavier downpours holding readings at 32°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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