Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in London on May 9, 2026, backed by official Met Office observations at the market's resolution station, London City Airport (EGLC), where automated weather reports recorded a peak of exactly 20°C. This aligns with mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering light easterly winds and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, consistent with UKMO and ECMWF forecast consensus of 19–21°C ranges against the site's May climatological average of 17–18°C. UK-wide maxima reached 22.9°C farther south at Wiggonholt, but urban and coastal factors limited London. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare post-hoc data revisions from instrument recalibrations could theoretically alter resolution; traders await Wunderground's verified dataset for closure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on May 9?
Highest temperature in London on May 9?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$174,241 Обс.
$174,241 Обс.
May 9, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$174,241 Обс.
$174,241 Обс.
May 9, 2026
15°C or below
$17,864 Обс.
No
16°C
$8,249 Обс.
No
17°C
$11,894 Обс.
No
18°C
$20,688 Обс.
No
19°C
$22,747 Обс.
No
20°C
$26,391 Обс.
Yes
21°C
$27,222 Обс.
No
22°C
$18,743 Обс.
No
23°C
$11,419 Обс.
No
24°C
$4,698 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$4,326 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in London on May 9, 2026, backed by official Met Office observations at the market's resolution station, London City Airport (EGLC), where automated weather reports recorded a peak of exactly 20°C. This aligns with mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering light easterly winds and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, consistent with UKMO and ECMWF forecast consensus of 19–21°C ranges against the site's May climatological average of 17–18°C. UK-wide maxima reached 22.9°C farther south at Wiggonholt, but urban and coastal factors limited London. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare post-hoc data revisions from instrument recalibrations could theoretically alter resolution; traders await Wunderground's verified dataset for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$174,241Дата завершення
May 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in London on May 9, 2026, backed by official Met Office observations at the market's resolution station, London City Airport (EGLC), where automated weather reports recorded a peak of exactly 20°C. This aligns with mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering light easterly winds and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, consistent with UKMO and ECMWF forecast consensus of 19–21°C ranges against the site's May climatological average of 17–18°C. UK-wide maxima reached 22.9°C farther south at Wiggonholt, but urban and coastal factors limited London. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare post-hoc data revisions from instrument recalibrations could theoretically alter resolution; traders await Wunderground's verified dataset for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$174,241Дата завершення
May 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in London on May 9, 2026, backed by official Met Office observations at the market's resolution station, London City Airport (EGLC), where automated weather reports recorded a peak of exactly 20°C. This aligns with mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering light easterly winds and partial cloud cover that capped solar heating, consistent with UKMO and ECMWF forecast consensus of 19–21°C ranges against the site's May climatological average of 17–18°C. UK-wide maxima reached 22.9°C farther south at Wiggonholt, but urban and coastal factors limited London. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare post-hoc data revisions from instrument recalibrations could theoretically alter resolution; traders await Wunderground's verified dataset for closure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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