Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Mexico City's high on September 16 likely reaching 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and limited solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This setup aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 56% implied probability, as historical September maxima average near 25°C and urban heat island effects or brief afternoon clearing could add 1–2°C. The 26°C bin at 34% reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season, while lower probabilities for 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes stem from stable steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance later today will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
25°C 56%
26°C 27%
24°C 8%
27°C or higher 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
56%
26°C
27%
27°C or higher
5%
25°C 56%
26°C 27%
24°C 8%
27°C or higher 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
$502 Обс.
1%
18°C
$302 Обс.
1%
19°C
$302 Обс.
1%
20°C
$302 Обс.
1%
21°C
$235 Обс.
1%
22°C
$236 Обс.
2%
23°C
$292 Обс.
2%
24°C
$654 Обс.
8%
25°C
$2,064 Обс.
56%
26°C
$938 Обс.
27%
27°C or higher
$244 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Mexico City's high on September 16 likely reaching 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and limited solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This setup aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 56% implied probability, as historical September maxima average near 25°C and urban heat island effects or brief afternoon clearing could add 1–2°C. The 26°C bin at 34% reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season, while lower probabilities for 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes stem from stable steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance later today will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,071Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Mexico City's high on September 16 likely reaching 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and limited solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This setup aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 56% implied probability, as historical September maxima average near 25°C and urban heat island effects or brief afternoon clearing could add 1–2°C. The 26°C bin at 34% reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season, while lower probabilities for 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes stem from stable steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance later today will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,071Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Mexico City's high on September 16 likely reaching 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and limited solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This setup aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 56% implied probability, as historical September maxima average near 25°C and urban heat island effects or brief afternoon clearing could add 1–2°C. The 26°C bin at 34% reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season, while lower probabilities for 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes stem from stable steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance later today will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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