Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers across Lucknow on August 23, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. Monsoon dynamics, including increased cloud cover and moisture, align with typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs while reducing the odds of 33°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance shows lower daytime heating compared to clearer periods earlier in the month, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 85% of trader consensus. New IMD extended-range updates and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and rainfall intensity, directly influencing resolution around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 23?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 23?
31°C 44%
32°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
44%
32°C
27%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 44%
32°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$181 Обс.
1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
1%
28°C
$19 Обс.
6%
29°C
$0 Обс.
8%
30°C
$0 Обс.
13%
31°C
$240 Обс.
44%
32°C
$26 Обс.
27%
33°C
$23 Обс.
15%
34°C
$50 Обс.
5%
35°C or higher
$25 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers across Lucknow on August 23, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. Monsoon dynamics, including increased cloud cover and moisture, align with typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs while reducing the odds of 33°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance shows lower daytime heating compared to clearer periods earlier in the month, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 85% of trader consensus. New IMD extended-range updates and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and rainfall intensity, directly influencing resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$563Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers across Lucknow on August 23, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. Monsoon dynamics, including increased cloud cover and moisture, align with typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs while reducing the odds of 33°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance shows lower daytime heating compared to clearer periods earlier in the month, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 85% of trader consensus. New IMD extended-range updates and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and rainfall intensity, directly influencing resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$563Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers across Lucknow on August 23, 2026, suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader at 44% implied probability. Monsoon dynamics, including increased cloud cover and moisture, align with typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs while reducing the odds of 33°C or higher. Updated short-range guidance shows lower daytime heating compared to clearer periods earlier in the month, with 30–32°C outcomes capturing over 85% of trader consensus. New IMD extended-range updates and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and rainfall intensity, directly influencing resolution around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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