**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 29–31°C with a 90% chance of rain driven by the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation, suppressing daytime peaks 1–3°C below the seasonal 31–32°C average recorded at Manila stations. Recent model consensus and ongoing monsoon flow mirror conditions that produced a 30°C peak on August 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (44.5% for 29°C, 26.5% for 30°C) to these moderated outcomes. High humidity and variable shower timing introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima, though current guidance points to limited intensification potential before the next forecast update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 6?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 6?
29°C 45%
30°C 27%
28°C 18%
31°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
45%
30°C
27%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
30°C 27%
28°C 18%
31°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
$226 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$59 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$245 Обс.
3%
28°C
$144 Обс.
18%
29°C
$1,941 Обс.
45%
30°C
$582 Обс.
27%
31°C
$307 Обс.
5%
32°C
$116 Обс.
1%
33°C
$468 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$103 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$109 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 29–31°C with a 90% chance of rain driven by the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation, suppressing daytime peaks 1–3°C below the seasonal 31–32°C average recorded at Manila stations. Recent model consensus and ongoing monsoon flow mirror conditions that produced a 30°C peak on August 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (44.5% for 29°C, 26.5% for 30°C) to these moderated outcomes. High humidity and variable shower timing introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima, though current guidance points to limited intensification potential before the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,300Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 29–31°C with a 90% chance of rain driven by the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation, suppressing daytime peaks 1–3°C below the seasonal 31–32°C average recorded at Manila stations. Recent model consensus and ongoing monsoon flow mirror conditions that produced a 30°C peak on August 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (44.5% for 29°C, 26.5% for 30°C) to these moderated outcomes. High humidity and variable shower timing introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima, though current guidance points to limited intensification potential before the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,300Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 29–31°C with a 90% chance of rain driven by the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation, suppressing daytime peaks 1–3°C below the seasonal 31–32°C average recorded at Manila stations. Recent model consensus and ongoing monsoon flow mirror conditions that produced a 30°C peak on August 3, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (44.5% for 29°C, 26.5% for 30°C) to these moderated outcomes. High humidity and variable shower timing introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima, though current guidance points to limited intensification potential before the next forecast update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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