Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS for Milan on August 25 show maximum temperatures clustered between 25–28°C amid building instability and a 50–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Light easterly flow and moderate humidity near 65% limit strong daytime heating, while scattered convection could suppress peaks or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of that range. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with no strong signal for extremes above 29°C or below 25°C, producing tightly matched market-implied probabilities across the central bins. Updated runs and any shifts in storm timing will be the main near-term drivers of further adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 25?
27°C 35%
28°C 29%
26°C 28%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
28%
27°C
35%
28°C
29%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 35%
28°C 29%
26°C 28%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
1%
23°C
$0 Обс.
1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
2%
25°C
$0 Обс.
12%
26°C
$18 Обс.
28%
27°C
$0 Обс.
35%
28°C
$0 Обс.
29%
29°C
$11 Обс.
11%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS for Milan on August 25 show maximum temperatures clustered between 25–28°C amid building instability and a 50–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Light easterly flow and moderate humidity near 65% limit strong daytime heating, while scattered convection could suppress peaks or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of that range. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with no strong signal for extremes above 29°C or below 25°C, producing tightly matched market-implied probabilities across the central bins. Updated runs and any shifts in storm timing will be the main near-term drivers of further adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$29Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS for Milan on August 25 show maximum temperatures clustered between 25–28°C amid building instability and a 50–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Light easterly flow and moderate humidity near 65% limit strong daytime heating, while scattered convection could suppress peaks or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of that range. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with no strong signal for extremes above 29°C or below 25°C, producing tightly matched market-implied probabilities across the central bins. Updated runs and any shifts in storm timing will be the main near-term drivers of further adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$29Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS for Milan on August 25 show maximum temperatures clustered between 25–28°C amid building instability and a 50–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Light easterly flow and moderate humidity near 65% limit strong daytime heating, while scattered convection could suppress peaks or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of that range. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with no strong signal for extremes above 29°C or below 25°C, producing tightly matched market-implied probabilities across the central bins. Updated runs and any shifts in storm timing will be the main near-term drivers of further adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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