Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles show typical mid-August conditions for Panama City, Panama, with daytime maxima centered on 31–33°C amid the rainy season’s high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. This consensus drives the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C as the leading outcomes, with traders pricing in modest model spread from differences in simulated cloud cover, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical baselines place the August average high near 30–32°C, providing context for why extremes above 34°C or below 30°C carry low implied probability absent an unexpected dry spell or stronger heating. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of the 20 August peak-heating window remain the key variables that could shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on August 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 20?
32°C 34%
33°C 33%
31°C 25%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
33%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 33%
31°C 25%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
$13 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$9 Обс.
1%
29°C
$15 Обс.
5%
30°C
$48 Обс.
9%
31°C
$5 Обс.
25%
32°C
$7 Обс.
34%
33°C
$1 Обс.
33%
34°C
$5 Обс.
4%
35°C
$18 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$110 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$30 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles show typical mid-August conditions for Panama City, Panama, with daytime maxima centered on 31–33°C amid the rainy season’s high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. This consensus drives the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C as the leading outcomes, with traders pricing in modest model spread from differences in simulated cloud cover, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical baselines place the August average high near 30–32°C, providing context for why extremes above 34°C or below 30°C carry low implied probability absent an unexpected dry spell or stronger heating. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of the 20 August peak-heating window remain the key variables that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$261Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles show typical mid-August conditions for Panama City, Panama, with daytime maxima centered on 31–33°C amid the rainy season’s high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. This consensus drives the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C as the leading outcomes, with traders pricing in modest model spread from differences in simulated cloud cover, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical baselines place the August average high near 30–32°C, providing context for why extremes above 34°C or below 30°C carry low implied probability absent an unexpected dry spell or stronger heating. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of the 20 August peak-heating window remain the key variables that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$261Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles show typical mid-August conditions for Panama City, Panama, with daytime maxima centered on 31–33°C amid the rainy season’s high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. This consensus drives the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C as the leading outcomes, with traders pricing in modest model spread from differences in simulated cloud cover, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical baselines place the August average high near 30–32°C, providing context for why extremes above 34°C or below 30°C carry low implied probability absent an unexpected dry spell or stronger heating. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of the 20 August peak-heating window remain the key variables that could shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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