Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate afternoon highs on July 12 clustered near 30–31°C amid the peak rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which promotes widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. This tight clustering around typical July climatology—where daily maxima average 30–32°C—explains why market-implied odds place 30°C and 31°C nearly even at the top, with modest probability on 29°C or 32°C reflecting minor differences in model timing of convection or moisture. Official guidance from regional analyses shows no strong anomalous warming or clear-sky periods that would push extremes higher, though small forecast adjustments in wind patterns or rainfall intensity could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on July 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 12?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$22,606 Обс.
$22,606 Обс.
Jul 12, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$22,606 Обс.
$22,606 Обс.
Jul 12, 2026
26°C or below
$1,866 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,597 Обс.
No
28°C
$2,791 Обс.
No
29°C
$2,914 Обс.
No
30°C
$1,497 Обс.
No
31°C
$3,728 Обс.
Yes
32°C
$2,125 Обс.
No
33°C
$2,595 Обс.
No
34°C
$1,311 Обс.
No
35°C
$959 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$1,221 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate afternoon highs on July 12 clustered near 30–31°C amid the peak rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which promotes widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. This tight clustering around typical July climatology—where daily maxima average 30–32°C—explains why market-implied odds place 30°C and 31°C nearly even at the top, with modest probability on 29°C or 32°C reflecting minor differences in model timing of convection or moisture. Official guidance from regional analyses shows no strong anomalous warming or clear-sky periods that would push extremes higher, though small forecast adjustments in wind patterns or rainfall intensity could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$22,606Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate afternoon highs on July 12 clustered near 30–31°C amid the peak rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which promotes widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. This tight clustering around typical July climatology—where daily maxima average 30–32°C—explains why market-implied odds place 30°C and 31°C nearly even at the top, with modest probability on 29°C or 32°C reflecting minor differences in model timing of convection or moisture. Official guidance from regional analyses shows no strong anomalous warming or clear-sky periods that would push extremes higher, though small forecast adjustments in wind patterns or rainfall intensity could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$22,606Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate afternoon highs on July 12 clustered near 30–31°C amid the peak rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which promotes widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. This tight clustering around typical July climatology—where daily maxima average 30–32°C—explains why market-implied odds place 30°C and 31°C nearly even at the top, with modest probability on 29°C or 32°C reflecting minor differences in model timing of convection or moisture. Official guidance from regional analyses shows no strong anomalous warming or clear-sky periods that would push extremes higher, though small forecast adjustments in wind patterns or rainfall intensity could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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