Latest short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project a daily maximum near 30°C in Paris on August 16, reflecting a cooldown after mid-August heat that reached 37–38°C earlier in the week. This cooling stems from a shift toward cooler Atlantic air masses and increased cloud cover that limits peak insolation, consistent with seasonal August averages of 24–29°C. Ensemble models show only modest spread around these values, with small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture able to nudge outcomes between 29°C and 31°C. Broader El Niño conditions support above-normal European temperatures overall, yet the near-term synoptic pattern currently favors the narrow 29–30°C range that dominates trader consensus. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 16?
30°C 43%
29°C 33%
28°C 14%
31°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
33%
30°C
43%
31°C
13%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 33%
28°C 14%
31°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$14 Обс.
1%
27°C
$10 Обс.
4%
28°C
$63 Обс.
14%
29°C
$141 Обс.
33%
30°C
$79 Обс.
43%
31°C
$0 Обс.
13%
32°C
$31 Обс.
5%
33°C
$10 Обс.
3%
34°C
$5 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project a daily maximum near 30°C in Paris on August 16, reflecting a cooldown after mid-August heat that reached 37–38°C earlier in the week. This cooling stems from a shift toward cooler Atlantic air masses and increased cloud cover that limits peak insolation, consistent with seasonal August averages of 24–29°C. Ensemble models show only modest spread around these values, with small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture able to nudge outcomes between 29°C and 31°C. Broader El Niño conditions support above-normal European temperatures overall, yet the near-term synoptic pattern currently favors the narrow 29–30°C range that dominates trader consensus. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$363Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project a daily maximum near 30°C in Paris on August 16, reflecting a cooldown after mid-August heat that reached 37–38°C earlier in the week. This cooling stems from a shift toward cooler Atlantic air masses and increased cloud cover that limits peak insolation, consistent with seasonal August averages of 24–29°C. Ensemble models show only modest spread around these values, with small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture able to nudge outcomes between 29°C and 31°C. Broader El Niño conditions support above-normal European temperatures overall, yet the near-term synoptic pattern currently favors the narrow 29–30°C range that dominates trader consensus. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$363Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office project a daily maximum near 30°C in Paris on August 16, reflecting a cooldown after mid-August heat that reached 37–38°C earlier in the week. This cooling stems from a shift toward cooler Atlantic air masses and increased cloud cover that limits peak insolation, consistent with seasonal August averages of 24–29°C. Ensemble models show only modest spread around these values, with small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture able to nudge outcomes between 29°C and 31°C. Broader El Niño conditions support above-normal European temperatures overall, yet the near-term synoptic pattern currently favors the narrow 29–30°C range that dominates trader consensus. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання