Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs near 37°C on August 14 amid persistent summer heat across Sichuan, driven by subtropical high-pressure systems, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that elevate peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, but recent years show more frequent extremes above 35°C due to broader warming trends, with model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting potential for 36–38°C depending on cloud cover and afternoon convection. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of any late-day cooling or localized thunderstorm activity that could cap the daily maximum. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 14?
36°C 28%
37°C 22%
35°C 16%
38°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
14%
35°C
16%
36°C
28%
37°C
22%
38°C
14%
39°C
8%
40°C or higher
1%
36°C 28%
37°C 22%
35°C 16%
38°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
30°C or below
$71 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$12 Обс.
1%
32°C
$59 Обс.
1%
33°C
$65 Обс.
4%
34°C
$51 Обс.
14%
35°C
$0 Обс.
16%
36°C
$72 Обс.
28%
37°C
$0 Обс.
22%
38°C
$3 Обс.
14%
39°C
$53 Обс.
8%
40°C or higher
$326 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs near 37°C on August 14 amid persistent summer heat across Sichuan, driven by subtropical high-pressure systems, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that elevate peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, but recent years show more frequent extremes above 35°C due to broader warming trends, with model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting potential for 36–38°C depending on cloud cover and afternoon convection. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of any late-day cooling or localized thunderstorm activity that could cap the daily maximum. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$713Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs near 37°C on August 14 amid persistent summer heat across Sichuan, driven by subtropical high-pressure systems, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that elevate peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, but recent years show more frequent extremes above 35°C due to broader warming trends, with model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting potential for 36–38°C depending on cloud cover and afternoon convection. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of any late-day cooling or localized thunderstorm activity that could cap the daily maximum. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$713Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs near 37°C on August 14 amid persistent summer heat across Sichuan, driven by subtropical high-pressure systems, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that elevate peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, but recent years show more frequent extremes above 35°C due to broader warming trends, with model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting potential for 36–38°C depending on cloud cover and afternoon convection. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of any late-day cooling or localized thunderstorm activity that could cap the daily maximum. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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