Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 15 points to a high near 68–70°F in San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F (38%) and 70–71°F (21.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are limiting daytime heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite the mid-August timing. Climatologically, San Francisco averages around 70°F in August, but a recent cooling trend has held readings slightly below normal. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while noting that shifts in the sea breeze or stratus clearance could nudge the official high into adjacent ranges before resolution at the KSFO station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 15?
68-69°F 38%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 18%
72-73°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 38%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 18%
72-73°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
59°F or below
$67 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$15 Обс.
1%
62-63°F
$241 Обс.
2%
64-65°F
$13 Обс.
6%
66-67°F
$197 Обс.
18%
68-69°F
$53 Обс.
38%
70-71°F
$57 Обс.
23%
72-73°F
$201 Обс.
8%
74-75°F
$160 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$167 Обс.
<1%
78°F or higher
$11 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 15 points to a high near 68–70°F in San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F (38%) and 70–71°F (21.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are limiting daytime heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite the mid-August timing. Climatologically, San Francisco averages around 70°F in August, but a recent cooling trend has held readings slightly below normal. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while noting that shifts in the sea breeze or stratus clearance could nudge the official high into adjacent ranges before resolution at the KSFO station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,182Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 15 points to a high near 68–70°F in San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F (38%) and 70–71°F (21.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are limiting daytime heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite the mid-August timing. Climatologically, San Francisco averages around 70°F in August, but a recent cooling trend has held readings slightly below normal. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while noting that shifts in the sea breeze or stratus clearance could nudge the official high into adjacent ranges before resolution at the KSFO station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,182Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 15 points to a high near 68–70°F in San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F (38%) and 70–71°F (21.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are limiting daytime heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite the mid-August timing. Climatologically, San Francisco averages around 70°F in August, but a recent cooling trend has held readings slightly below normal. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while noting that shifts in the sea breeze or stratus clearance could nudge the official high into adjacent ranges before resolution at the KSFO station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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