Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$75,899 Обс.
$75,899 Обс.
Apr 19, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$75,899 Обс.
$75,899 Обс.
Apr 19, 2026
23°C or below
$2,264 Обс.
No
24°C
$2,882 Обс.
No
25°C
$10,658 Обс.
No
26°C
$13,157 Обс.
No
27°C
$10,005 Обс.
No
28°C
$10,443 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$9,735 Обс.
No
30°C
$7,576 Обс.
No
31°C
$4,390 Обс.
No
32°C
$2,512 Обс.
No
33°C or higher
$2,276 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$75,899Дата завершення
Apr 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$75,899Дата завершення
Apr 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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