Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a maximum temperature near 30–32°C for Wuhan on August 15, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions in the Yangtze River valley featuring high humidity, weak steering winds, and scattered convective showers that can cap daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 33°C, yet current model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover and precipitation potential, creating tight clustering around the 30–32°C outcomes. Minor disagreements in timing of any rainfall or boundary-layer moisture explain the near-equal market-implied probabilities for these adjacent bins, while lower odds for 33°C+ reflect the limited intensification window before the date. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 15?
31°C 29%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
29%
32°C
26%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
7%
31°C 29%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$22 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$12 Обс.
1%
27°C
$12 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
10%
29°C
$0 Обс.
12%
30°C
$0 Обс.
19%
31°C
$0 Обс.
29%
32°C
$0 Обс.
26%
33°C
$0 Обс.
5%
34°C
$3 Обс.
4%
35°C or higher
$12 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a maximum temperature near 30–32°C for Wuhan on August 15, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions in the Yangtze River valley featuring high humidity, weak steering winds, and scattered convective showers that can cap daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 33°C, yet current model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover and precipitation potential, creating tight clustering around the 30–32°C outcomes. Minor disagreements in timing of any rainfall or boundary-layer moisture explain the near-equal market-implied probabilities for these adjacent bins, while lower odds for 33°C+ reflect the limited intensification window before the date. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$61Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a maximum temperature near 30–32°C for Wuhan on August 15, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions in the Yangtze River valley featuring high humidity, weak steering winds, and scattered convective showers that can cap daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 33°C, yet current model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover and precipitation potential, creating tight clustering around the 30–32°C outcomes. Minor disagreements in timing of any rainfall or boundary-layer moisture explain the near-equal market-implied probabilities for these adjacent bins, while lower odds for 33°C+ reflect the limited intensification window before the date. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$61Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a maximum temperature near 30–32°C for Wuhan on August 15, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions in the Yangtze River valley featuring high humidity, weak steering winds, and scattered convective showers that can cap daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 33°C, yet current model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover and precipitation potential, creating tight clustering around the 30–32°C outcomes. Minor disagreements in timing of any rainfall or boundary-layer moisture explain the near-equal market-implied probabilities for these adjacent bins, while lower odds for 33°C+ reflect the limited intensification window before the date. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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