**Forecast model spreads and near-term synoptic conditions are keeping the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15 tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and fresh northeasterly breezes, while other ensembles allow brief warming to 26–28°C depending on the timing and strength of the sea breeze across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea. These small differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, 10-meter wind speeds, and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating. With August climatology favoring highs near 28°C but current patterns introducing cooler marine air, traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the final model runs and observational updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
26°C 49%
25°C 42%
24°C 9%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
42%
26°C
49%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 49%
25°C 42%
24°C 9%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$46 Обс.
4%
23°C
$12 Обс.
2%
24°C
$179 Обс.
9%
25°C
$39 Обс.
42%
26°C
$24 Обс.
49%
27°C
$0 Обс.
8%
28°C
$0 Обс.
5%
29°C
$9 Обс.
7%
30°C
$12 Обс.
3%
31°C
$12 Обс.
3%
32°C or higher
$12 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spreads and near-term synoptic conditions are keeping the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15 tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and fresh northeasterly breezes, while other ensembles allow brief warming to 26–28°C depending on the timing and strength of the sea breeze across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea.
These small differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, 10-meter wind speeds, and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating. With August climatology favoring highs near 28°C but current patterns introducing cooler marine air, traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the final model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$345Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spreads and near-term synoptic conditions are keeping the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15 tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and fresh northeasterly breezes, while other ensembles allow brief warming to 26–28°C depending on the timing and strength of the sea breeze across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea.
These small differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, 10-meter wind speeds, and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating. With August climatology favoring highs near 28°C but current patterns introducing cooler marine air, traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the final model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$345Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model spreads and near-term synoptic conditions are keeping the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15 tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and fresh northeasterly breezes, while other ensembles allow brief warming to 26–28°C depending on the timing and strength of the sea breeze across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea. These small differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, 10-meter wind speeds, and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating. With August climatology favoring highs near 28°C but current patterns introducing cooler marine air, traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the final model runs and observational updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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