Traders have converged on 31°C as the near-certain outcome for Zhengzhou’s highest temperature on August 15 because official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, the China Meteorological Administration, and international models consistently project a daytime maximum of 31°C at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport station under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with the city’s August climatology, where average highs reach 30–32°C amid typical monsoon humidity and minimal frontal activity. The narrow spread across alternative bins reflects limited forecast uncertainty on the final day of observation. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift in the steering pattern or localized convective cooling that drops the recorded peak below 31°C, though current model consensus shows no such deviation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 15?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 15?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,433 Обс.
$6,433 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,433 Обс.
$6,433 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$105 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$105 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$105 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$105 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$105 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$119 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$440 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$245 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,268 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,975 Обс.
100%
32°C or higher
$1,861 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 31°C as the near-certain outcome for Zhengzhou’s highest temperature on August 15 because official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, the China Meteorological Administration, and international models consistently project a daytime maximum of 31°C at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport station under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with the city’s August climatology, where average highs reach 30–32°C amid typical monsoon humidity and minimal frontal activity. The narrow spread across alternative bins reflects limited forecast uncertainty on the final day of observation. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift in the steering pattern or localized convective cooling that drops the recorded peak below 31°C, though current model consensus shows no such deviation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,433Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 31°C as the near-certain outcome for Zhengzhou’s highest temperature on August 15 because official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, the China Meteorological Administration, and international models consistently project a daytime maximum of 31°C at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport station under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with the city’s August climatology, where average highs reach 30–32°C amid typical monsoon humidity and minimal frontal activity. The narrow spread across alternative bins reflects limited forecast uncertainty on the final day of observation. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift in the steering pattern or localized convective cooling that drops the recorded peak below 31°C, though current model consensus shows no such deviation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,433Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 31°C as the near-certain outcome for Zhengzhou’s highest temperature on August 15 because official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, the China Meteorological Administration, and international models consistently project a daytime maximum of 31°C at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport station under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with the city’s August climatology, where average highs reach 30–32°C amid typical monsoon humidity and minimal frontal activity. The narrow spread across alternative bins reflects limited forecast uncertainty on the final day of observation. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted shift in the steering pattern or localized convective cooling that drops the recorded peak below 31°C, though current model consensus shows no such deviation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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