Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–34°C on August 23, driven by a weakening low-level trough and strengthening subtropical high that reduce cloud cover and precipitation after several days of scattered showers. Recent observations show daytime maxima stabilizing near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and high humidity, while climatological August averages for the region support readings in this range absent stronger cooling influences. These conditions underpin the 75% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, with limited downside risk from model consensus. Updated forecasts and official observations will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 27%
30°C 10%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
27%
32°C or higher
74%
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 27%
30°C 10%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
23°C
$5 Обс.
1%
24°C
$5 Обс.
1%
25°C
$5 Обс.
1%
26°C
$5 Обс.
1%
27°C
$5 Обс.
2%
28°C
$5 Обс.
2%
29°C
$5 Обс.
3%
30°C
$0 Обс.
10%
31°C
$0 Обс.
27%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–34°C on August 23, driven by a weakening low-level trough and strengthening subtropical high that reduce cloud cover and precipitation after several days of scattered showers. Recent observations show daytime maxima stabilizing near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and high humidity, while climatological August averages for the region support readings in this range absent stronger cooling influences. These conditions underpin the 75% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, with limited downside risk from model consensus. Updated forecasts and official observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$40Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–34°C on August 23, driven by a weakening low-level trough and strengthening subtropical high that reduce cloud cover and precipitation after several days of scattered showers. Recent observations show daytime maxima stabilizing near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and high humidity, while climatological August averages for the region support readings in this range absent stronger cooling influences. These conditions underpin the 75% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, with limited downside risk from model consensus. Updated forecasts and official observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$40Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–34°C on August 23, driven by a weakening low-level trough and strengthening subtropical high that reduce cloud cover and precipitation after several days of scattered showers. Recent observations show daytime maxima stabilizing near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and high humidity, while climatological August averages for the region support readings in this range absent stronger cooling influences. These conditions underpin the 75% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, with limited downside risk from model consensus. Updated forecasts and official observations will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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