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Політика·Латвія

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

icon for Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
Політика·Латвія

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

AS 50.2%

LPV 31%

PRO 7.8%

SV 7.1%

Polymarket

$172,631 Обс.

AS 50.2%

LPV 31%

PRO 7.8%

SV 7.1%

Polymarket

$172,631 Обс.

AS

$28,313 Обс.

50%

LPV

$20,399 Обс.

31%

PRO

$28,318 Обс.

8%

SV

$17,617 Обс.

7%

JV

$11,629 Обс.

3%

NA

$7,381 Обс.

2%

ZZS

$52,274 Обс.

1%

S

$3,820 Обс.

<1%

ST!

$2,881 Обс.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent opinion polls for Latvia’s October 3, 2026 Saeima election show Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) holding a narrow lead in vote share and projected seats, followed closely by Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV), with Suverēnā vara (SV) and Progresīvie (PRO) in the next tier. This polling order underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward AS at roughly 50 percent implied probability of finishing first. The proportional representation system and 5 percent threshold amplify small shifts among multiple parties, including Jaunā Vienotība (JV), Nacionālā Apvienība (NA), and Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (ZZS). No major campaign events or scandals have altered the standings in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with the latest survey data and historical volatility in Latvia’s fragmented party system.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Обсяг
$172,631
Дата завершення
Oct 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent opinion polls for Latvia’s October 3, 2026 Saeima election show Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) holding a narrow lead in vote share and projected seats, followed closely by Latvija pirmajā vietā (LPV), with Suverēnā vara (SV) and Progresīvie (PRO) in the next tier. This polling order underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward AS at roughly 50 percent implied probability of finishing first. The proportional representation system and 5 percent threshold amplify small shifts among multiple parties, including Jaunā Vienotība (JV), Nacionālā Apvienība (NA), and Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (ZZS). No major campaign events or scandals have altered the standings in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with the latest survey data and historical volatility in Latvia’s fragmented party system.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Обсяг
$172,631
Дата завершення
Oct 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).

Пов'язане

icon for Чи отримає Шведська соціал-демократична партія (S) найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Швеції 2026 року?

Чи отримає Шведська соціал-демократична партія (S) найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Швеції 2026 року?

98%
Так
icon for Чи отримає «Єдина Росія» (ЄР) найбільше місць на наступних парламентських виборах у Росії?

Чи отримає «Єдина Росія» (ЄР) найбільше місць на наступних парламентських виборах у Росії?

97%
Так
icon for Чи здобуде рух «Амаль» найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Лівані 2026 року?

Чи здобуде рух «Амаль» найбільше місць на парламентських виборах у Лівані 2026 року?

1%
Так

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «AS» з 50%, далі «LPV» з 31%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner» згенерував $172.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 16, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner» — «AS» з 50%. Наступний — «LPV» з 31%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.