Recent Pallas Data polling shows the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) edging ahead at 32% vote intention versus Parti Québécois (PQ) at 29%, with Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) stagnant at 14% following Christine Fréchette's leadership selection to replace François Legault, yet trader consensus prices PQ at 49.5% implied probability for most National Assembly seats due to superior vote efficiency in francophone ridings outside Montreal under the first-past-the-post system. Projections like 338Canada's grant PQ 92% odds of plurality (63 seats) versus PLQ's 47, reflecting PQ's four straight byelection victories through February despite PLQ's recent Terrebonne win. The race remains closely contested ahead of the October 5 vote, with legislature reconvening May 5 potentially influencing dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
Переможець загальних виборів у Квебеку
PQ 50%
PLQ 38%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$443,641 Обс.
$443,641 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
50%
PLQ
38%
CAQ
9%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 50%
PLQ 38%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$443,641 Обс.
$443,641 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$46,801 Обс.
50%
PLQ
$51,783 Обс.
38%
CAQ
$43,810 Обс.
9%
PCQ
$145,632 Обс.
1%
PVQ
$106,954 Обс.
<1%
QS
$48,662 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Pallas Data polling shows the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) edging ahead at 32% vote intention versus Parti Québécois (PQ) at 29%, with Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) stagnant at 14% following Christine Fréchette's leadership selection to replace François Legault, yet trader consensus prices PQ at 49.5% implied probability for most National Assembly seats due to superior vote efficiency in francophone ridings outside Montreal under the first-past-the-post system. Projections like 338Canada's grant PQ 92% odds of plurality (63 seats) versus PLQ's 47, reflecting PQ's four straight byelection victories through February despite PLQ's recent Terrebonne win. The race remains closely contested ahead of the October 5 vote, with legislature reconvening May 5 potentially influencing dynamics.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$443,641Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Pallas Data polling shows the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) edging ahead at 32% vote intention versus Parti Québécois (PQ) at 29%, with Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) stagnant at 14% following Christine Fréchette's leadership selection to replace François Legault, yet trader consensus prices PQ at 49.5% implied probability for most National Assembly seats due to superior vote efficiency in francophone ridings outside Montreal under the first-past-the-post system. Projections like 338Canada's grant PQ 92% odds of plurality (63 seats) versus PLQ's 47, reflecting PQ's four straight byelection victories through February despite PLQ's recent Terrebonne win. The race remains closely contested ahead of the October 5 vote, with legislature reconvening May 5 potentially influencing dynamics.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$443,641Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Pallas Data polling shows the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) edging ahead at 32% vote intention versus Parti Québécois (PQ) at 29%, with Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) stagnant at 14% following Christine Fréchette's leadership selection to replace François Legault, yet trader consensus prices PQ at 49.5% implied probability for most National Assembly seats due to superior vote efficiency in francophone ridings outside Montreal under the first-past-the-post system. Projections like 338Canada's grant PQ 92% odds of plurality (63 seats) versus PLQ's 47, reflecting PQ's four straight byelection victories through February despite PLQ's recent Terrebonne win. The race remains closely contested ahead of the October 5 vote, with legislature reconvening May 5 potentially influencing dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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