Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, supporting the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Radiational cooling overnight benefits from the building high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover, while any increase in wind or residual moisture could limit the drop. This aligns with the late-August climatological average low of roughly 13°C, though current conditions trend slightly cooler than seasonal norms. Traders weigh model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new 12z runs and observational updates from KNMI the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
12°C 47%
13°C 44%
10°C 34%
16°C 33%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
33%
10°C
34%
11°C
27%
12°C
47%
13°C
44%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
33%
17°C
25%
18°C or higher
1%
12°C 47%
13°C 44%
10°C 34%
16°C 33%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$8 Обс.
2%
9°C
$0 Обс.
33%
10°C
$0 Обс.
34%
11°C
$0 Обс.
27%
12°C
$0 Обс.
47%
13°C
$0 Обс.
44%
14°C
$0 Обс.
27%
15°C
$15 Обс.
26%
16°C
$5 Обс.
33%
17°C
$5 Обс.
25%
18°C or higher
$27 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, supporting the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Radiational cooling overnight benefits from the building high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover, while any increase in wind or residual moisture could limit the drop. This aligns with the late-August climatological average low of roughly 13°C, though current conditions trend slightly cooler than seasonal norms. Traders weigh model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new 12z runs and observational updates from KNMI the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$59Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, supporting the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Radiational cooling overnight benefits from the building high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover, while any increase in wind or residual moisture could limit the drop. This aligns with the late-August climatological average low of roughly 13°C, though current conditions trend slightly cooler than seasonal norms. Traders weigh model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new 12z runs and observational updates from KNMI the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$59Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, supporting the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Radiational cooling overnight benefits from the building high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover, while any increase in wind or residual moisture could limit the drop. This aligns with the late-August climatological average low of roughly 13°C, though current conditions trend slightly cooler than seasonal norms. Traders weigh model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new 12z runs and observational updates from KNMI the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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