Forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 16°C for Beijing on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds shifting from south to north. This places the outcome in the middle range between the market's closely matched leading probabilities for 10°C or below versus 20°C or higher. Radiative cooling overnight under dry autumn conditions with low humidity supports moderate lows, while any increase in cloud cover or sustained southerly flow could limit overnight temperature drops. Model runs show limited spread, with historical September baselines around 15–18°C providing context, though updated guidance on wind patterns or boundary layer mixing could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 12?
10°C or below 96%
20°C or higher 94%
13°C 40%
11°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
10°C or below
96%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
23%
15°C
21%
16°C
38%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
19%
20°C or higher
94%
10°C or below 96%
20°C or higher 94%
13°C 40%
11°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
96%
11°C
$0 Обс.
39%
12°C
$0 Обс.
39%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
23%
15°C
$0 Обс.
21%
16°C
$0 Обс.
38%
17°C
$0 Обс.
39%
18°C
$0 Обс.
39%
19°C
$218 Обс.
19%
20°C or higher
$10 Обс.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 16°C for Beijing on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds shifting from south to north. This places the outcome in the middle range between the market's closely matched leading probabilities for 10°C or below versus 20°C or higher. Radiative cooling overnight under dry autumn conditions with low humidity supports moderate lows, while any increase in cloud cover or sustained southerly flow could limit overnight temperature drops. Model runs show limited spread, with historical September baselines around 15–18°C providing context, though updated guidance on wind patterns or boundary layer mixing could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$228Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 16°C for Beijing on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds shifting from south to north. This places the outcome in the middle range between the market's closely matched leading probabilities for 10°C or below versus 20°C or higher. Radiative cooling overnight under dry autumn conditions with low humidity supports moderate lows, while any increase in cloud cover or sustained southerly flow could limit overnight temperature drops. Model runs show limited spread, with historical September baselines around 15–18°C providing context, though updated guidance on wind patterns or boundary layer mixing could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$228Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 16°C for Beijing on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds shifting from south to north. This places the outcome in the middle range between the market's closely matched leading probabilities for 10°C or below versus 20°C or higher. Radiative cooling overnight under dry autumn conditions with low humidity supports moderate lows, while any increase in cloud cover or sustained southerly flow could limit overnight temperature drops. Model runs show limited spread, with historical September baselines around 15–18°C providing context, though updated guidance on wind patterns or boundary layer mixing could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання