**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Beijing on September 8, 2026, reflecting late-summer cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration projected overnight lows in the 13–16°C range, with several sources settling near 15°C (approximately 59°F) as the most probable minimum amid dew points around 13–14°C and high humidity. This aligns with observed trends of a cooler-than-average early September night, consistent with regional high-pressure influences suppressing warmer advection. The near-certain market pricing indicates minimal expected deviation once final verified observations are confirmed, though small revisions could arise from station-specific microclimate effects or post-processing adjustments to the official minimum. No major model disagreements or sudden weather shifts appear in recent updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$4,610 Обс.
$4,610 Обс.
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$4,610 Обс.
$4,610 Обс.
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
$1,090 Обс.
No
13°C
$1,805 Обс.
No
14°C
$237 Обс.
No
15°C
$142 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$187 Обс.
No
17°C
$395 Обс.
No
18°C
$45 Обс.
No
19°C
$45 Обс.
No
20°C
$360 Обс.
No
21°C
$160 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$143 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Beijing on September 8, 2026, reflecting late-summer cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration projected overnight lows in the 13–16°C range, with several sources settling near 15°C (approximately 59°F) as the most probable minimum amid dew points around 13–14°C and high humidity. This aligns with observed trends of a cooler-than-average early September night, consistent with regional high-pressure influences suppressing warmer advection. The near-certain market pricing indicates minimal expected deviation once final verified observations are confirmed, though small revisions could arise from station-specific microclimate effects or post-processing adjustments to the official minimum. No major model disagreements or sudden weather shifts appear in recent updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,610Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Beijing on September 8, 2026, reflecting late-summer cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration projected overnight lows in the 13–16°C range, with several sources settling near 15°C (approximately 59°F) as the most probable minimum amid dew points around 13–14°C and high humidity. This aligns with observed trends of a cooler-than-average early September night, consistent with regional high-pressure influences suppressing warmer advection. The near-certain market pricing indicates minimal expected deviation once final verified observations are confirmed, though small revisions could arise from station-specific microclimate effects or post-processing adjustments to the official minimum. No major model disagreements or sudden weather shifts appear in recent updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,610Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Beijing on September 8, 2026, reflecting late-summer cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration projected overnight lows in the 13–16°C range, with several sources settling near 15°C (approximately 59°F) as the most probable minimum amid dew points around 13–14°C and high humidity. This aligns with observed trends of a cooler-than-average early September night, consistent with regional high-pressure influences suppressing warmer advection. The near-certain market pricing indicates minimal expected deviation once final verified observations are confirmed, though small revisions could arise from station-specific microclimate effects or post-processing adjustments to the official minimum. No major model disagreements or sudden weather shifts appear in recent updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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