**Forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 25 centers on competing influences from clear-sky radiative cooling versus moderating southeasterly winds and possible marine-layer effects.** Multiple models project overnight lows near 12–13 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of roughly 10–11 °C. However, slight variations in wind speed (8–16 mph SSE) and any late-arriving cloud cover could either allow stronger surface cooling toward single digits or prevent temperatures from dropping below the mid-teens. This balance produces nearly equal market-implied odds for extremes (≤7 °C or ≥17 °C), reflecting genuine model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer processes rather than a consensus shift. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and regional ensembles will clarify whether radiative losses or advective mixing dominate the final minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
7°C or below 86%
17°C or higher 85%
14°C 51%
16°C 51%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
7°C or below
86%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
30%
11°C
30%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
51%
15°C
2%
16°C
51%
17°C or higher
85%
7°C or below 86%
17°C or higher 85%
14°C 51%
16°C 51%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
7°C or below
$5 Обс.
86%
8°C
$0 Обс.
26%
9°C
$0 Обс.
26%
10°C
$0 Обс.
30%
11°C
$0 Обс.
30%
12°C
$0 Обс.
26%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$5 Обс.
51%
15°C
$5 Обс.
2%
16°C
$5 Обс.
51%
17°C or higher
$5 Обс.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 25 centers on competing influences from clear-sky radiative cooling versus moderating southeasterly winds and possible marine-layer effects.** Multiple models project overnight lows near 12–13 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of roughly 10–11 °C. However, slight variations in wind speed (8–16 mph SSE) and any late-arriving cloud cover could either allow stronger surface cooling toward single digits or prevent temperatures from dropping below the mid-teens. This balance produces nearly equal market-implied odds for extremes (≤7 °C or ≥17 °C), reflecting genuine model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer processes rather than a consensus shift. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and regional ensembles will clarify whether radiative losses or advective mixing dominate the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 25 centers on competing influences from clear-sky radiative cooling versus moderating southeasterly winds and possible marine-layer effects.** Multiple models project overnight lows near 12–13 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of roughly 10–11 °C. However, slight variations in wind speed (8–16 mph SSE) and any late-arriving cloud cover could either allow stronger surface cooling toward single digits or prevent temperatures from dropping below the mid-teens. This balance produces nearly equal market-implied odds for extremes (≤7 °C or ≥17 °C), reflecting genuine model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer processes rather than a consensus shift. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and regional ensembles will clarify whether radiative losses or advective mixing dominate the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 25 centers on competing influences from clear-sky radiative cooling versus moderating southeasterly winds and possible marine-layer effects.** Multiple models project overnight lows near 12–13 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of roughly 10–11 °C. However, slight variations in wind speed (8–16 mph SSE) and any late-arriving cloud cover could either allow stronger surface cooling toward single digits or prevent temperatures from dropping below the mid-teens. This balance produces nearly equal market-implied odds for extremes (≤7 °C or ≥17 °C), reflecting genuine model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer processes rather than a consensus shift. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and regional ensembles will clarify whether radiative losses or advective mixing dominate the final minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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