Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with widespread rain and thunderstorms across Chengdu on September 9, has driven overnight cooling and narrowed trader focus to 20–21°C as the most likely minimum. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 levels limit radiative cooling, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce model variability in the exact low. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows daytime highs near 23°C dropping to overnight readings in the upper teens under these conditions, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations will clarify whether the minimum settles at 20°C or edges to 21°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
21°C 50%
20°C 49%
18°C 46%
19°C 46%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
38%
18°C
46%
19°C
46%
20°C
49%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 50%
20°C 49%
18°C 46%
19°C 46%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
$328 Обс.
1%
17°C
$47 Обс.
38%
18°C
$20 Обс.
46%
19°C
$38 Обс.
46%
20°C
$0 Обс.
49%
21°C
$0 Обс.
50%
22°C
$75 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$145 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$131 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$409 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$245 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with widespread rain and thunderstorms across Chengdu on September 9, has driven overnight cooling and narrowed trader focus to 20–21°C as the most likely minimum. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 levels limit radiative cooling, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce model variability in the exact low. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows daytime highs near 23°C dropping to overnight readings in the upper teens under these conditions, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations will clarify whether the minimum settles at 20°C or edges to 21°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,438Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with widespread rain and thunderstorms across Chengdu on September 9, has driven overnight cooling and narrowed trader focus to 20–21°C as the most likely minimum. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 levels limit radiative cooling, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce model variability in the exact low. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows daytime highs near 23°C dropping to overnight readings in the upper teens under these conditions, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations will clarify whether the minimum settles at 20°C or edges to 21°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,438Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with widespread rain and thunderstorms across Chengdu on September 9, has driven overnight cooling and narrowed trader focus to 20–21°C as the most likely minimum. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds of 4–6 levels limit radiative cooling, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce model variability in the exact low. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows daytime highs near 23°C dropping to overnight readings in the upper teens under these conditions, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations will clarify whether the minimum settles at 20°C or edges to 21°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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