Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on September 11 centers on forecast model spread between cooler northerly intrusions and warmer subtropical ridge persistence. Numerical weather predictions show notable divergence, with some ensemble members supporting minima at or below 14°C amid stronger cold air advection, while others maintain values near or above 24°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds for the extremes, with intermediate outcomes like 18°C or 19°C reflecting the central tendency. September climatology for the Sichuan basin typically features lows near 18–20°C, and the next 24-hour model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 11?
24°C or higher 82%
14°C or below 57%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
57%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
32%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
40%
22°C
12%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
82%
24°C or higher 82%
14°C or below 57%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
57%
15°C
$0 Обс.
40%
16°C
$0 Обс.
40%
17°C
$0 Обс.
22%
18°C
$0 Обс.
32%
19°C
$0 Обс.
22%
20°C
$0 Обс.
21%
21°C
$0 Обс.
40%
22°C
$0 Обс.
12%
23°C
$0 Обс.
9%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on September 11 centers on forecast model spread between cooler northerly intrusions and warmer subtropical ridge persistence. Numerical weather predictions show notable divergence, with some ensemble members supporting minima at or below 14°C amid stronger cold air advection, while others maintain values near or above 24°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds for the extremes, with intermediate outcomes like 18°C or 19°C reflecting the central tendency. September climatology for the Sichuan basin typically features lows near 18–20°C, and the next 24-hour model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on September 11 centers on forecast model spread between cooler northerly intrusions and warmer subtropical ridge persistence. Numerical weather predictions show notable divergence, with some ensemble members supporting minima at or below 14°C amid stronger cold air advection, while others maintain values near or above 24°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds for the extremes, with intermediate outcomes like 18°C or 19°C reflecting the central tendency. September climatology for the Sichuan basin typically features lows near 18–20°C, and the next 24-hour model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on September 11 centers on forecast model spread between cooler northerly intrusions and warmer subtropical ridge persistence. Numerical weather predictions show notable divergence, with some ensemble members supporting minima at or below 14°C amid stronger cold air advection, while others maintain values near or above 24°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds for the extremes, with intermediate outcomes like 18°C or 19°C reflecting the central tendency. September climatology for the Sichuan basin typically features lows near 18–20°C, and the next 24-hour model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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