Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C for Chongqing on September 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds. This supports trader emphasis on the closely matched 18°C-or-below (47.5%) and 21°C (46.5%) outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates within the Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime. Clear skies overnight could enhance surface heat loss and push readings lower, while any increase in cloud cover or mixing from southerly flow would limit the drop. Historical September minima average around 22°C, providing context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities ahead of updated 00Z model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 3?
18°C or below 81%
21°C 43%
24°C 39%
20°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
81%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
43%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
48%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 81%
21°C 43%
24°C 39%
20°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
$15 Обс.
81%
19°C
$6 Обс.
26%
20°C
$6 Обс.
27%
21°C
$6 Обс.
43%
22°C
$13 Обс.
26%
23°C
$12 Обс.
26%
24°C
$7 Обс.
39%
25°C
$56 Обс.
21%
26°C
$355 Обс.
48%
27°C
$106 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$346 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C for Chongqing on September 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds. This supports trader emphasis on the closely matched 18°C-or-below (47.5%) and 21°C (46.5%) outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates within the Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime. Clear skies overnight could enhance surface heat loss and push readings lower, while any increase in cloud cover or mixing from southerly flow would limit the drop. Historical September minima average around 22°C, providing context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities ahead of updated 00Z model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$928Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C for Chongqing on September 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds. This supports trader emphasis on the closely matched 18°C-or-below (47.5%) and 21°C (46.5%) outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates within the Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime. Clear skies overnight could enhance surface heat loss and push readings lower, while any increase in cloud cover or mixing from southerly flow would limit the drop. Historical September minima average around 22°C, providing context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities ahead of updated 00Z model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$928Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C for Chongqing on September 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds. This supports trader emphasis on the closely matched 18°C-or-below (47.5%) and 21°C (46.5%) outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates within the Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime. Clear skies overnight could enhance surface heat loss and push readings lower, while any increase in cloud cover or mixing from southerly flow would limit the drop. Historical September minima average around 22°C, providing context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities ahead of updated 00Z model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання