The market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 7, 2026, reflects Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming that temperature as the daily low, matching the official forecast range of 27–32°C issued the prior day under light winds, partial sunshine, and scattered showers. This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology at the site, where early-September minima typically range 24–26°C but can hold higher amid stable, humid conditions without strong cold-air intrusions. Traders appear to have placed high confidence in the authoritative station data and model consensus, with minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or alternative sites. A realistic challenge would require a verified revision to the official minimum through post-processing or station discrepancies, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
27°C 100%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,299 Обс.
$17,299 Обс.
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,299 Обс.
$17,299 Обс.
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
$158 Обс.
No
23°C
$153 Обс.
No
24°C
$466 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,343 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,337 Обс.
No
27°C
$8,917 Обс.
Yes
28°C
$645 Обс.
No
29°C
$365 Обс.
No
30°C
$165 Обс.
No
31°C
$579 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$172 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 7, 2026, reflects Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming that temperature as the daily low, matching the official forecast range of 27–32°C issued the prior day under light winds, partial sunshine, and scattered showers. This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology at the site, where early-September minima typically range 24–26°C but can hold higher amid stable, humid conditions without strong cold-air intrusions. Traders appear to have placed high confidence in the authoritative station data and model consensus, with minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or alternative sites. A realistic challenge would require a verified revision to the official minimum through post-processing or station discrepancies, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,299Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 7, 2026, reflects Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming that temperature as the daily low, matching the official forecast range of 27–32°C issued the prior day under light winds, partial sunshine, and scattered showers. This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology at the site, where early-September minima typically range 24–26°C but can hold higher amid stable, humid conditions without strong cold-air intrusions. Traders appear to have placed high confidence in the authoritative station data and model consensus, with minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or alternative sites. A realistic challenge would require a verified revision to the official minimum through post-processing or station discrepancies, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$17,299Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 7, 2026, reflects Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming that temperature as the daily low, matching the official forecast range of 27–32°C issued the prior day under light winds, partial sunshine, and scattered showers. This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology at the site, where early-September minima typically range 24–26°C but can hold higher amid stable, humid conditions without strong cold-air intrusions. Traders appear to have placed high confidence in the authoritative station data and model consensus, with minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or alternative sites. A realistic challenge would require a verified revision to the official minimum through post-processing or station discrepancies, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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