**Forecast models point to a low temperature in the 13–16°C range for Istanbul on September 24, 2026, after a cool frontal system from the Balkans clears.** Recent heavy rain and northerly winds on September 22–23 dropped daytime highs and set up radiational cooling potential overnight, but Thursday is expected to feature clearing skies, lighter winds, and a building ridge that limits further cooling. Official and model guidance (including GFS runs) shows overnight minima stabilizing near 14–15°C under partly clear conditions, with dew points around 9–11°C and minimal cloud cover after midnight. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 7°C or below and 17°C or higher reflects uncertainty in the exact timing of clearing and the strength of any residual onshore flow from the Marmara Sea, which can moderate overnight lows. Historical September averages place typical minima near 17°C, so the current setup represents a modest cool anomaly driven by the recent frontal passage. Key variables for the final minimum include the rate of cloud dissipation and surface wind speeds after 03:00 local time; updated model runs or observational data from local meteorological services will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 24?
7°C or below 96%
17°C or higher 96%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
96%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
19%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
96%
7°C or below 96%
17°C or higher 96%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Обс.
96%
8°C
$0 Обс.
40%
9°C
$0 Обс.
40%
10°C
$6 Обс.
21%
11°C
$0 Обс.
22%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
19%
15°C
$0 Обс.
18%
16°C
$0 Обс.
18%
17°C or higher
$0 Обс.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to a low temperature in the 13–16°C range for Istanbul on September 24, 2026, after a cool frontal system from the Balkans clears.** Recent heavy rain and northerly winds on September 22–23 dropped daytime highs and set up radiational cooling potential overnight, but Thursday is expected to feature clearing skies, lighter winds, and a building ridge that limits further cooling. Official and model guidance (including GFS runs) shows overnight minima stabilizing near 14–15°C under partly clear conditions, with dew points around 9–11°C and minimal cloud cover after midnight.
The near-even split in market-implied odds between 7°C or below and 17°C or higher reflects uncertainty in the exact timing of clearing and the strength of any residual onshore flow from the Marmara Sea, which can moderate overnight lows. Historical September averages place typical minima near 17°C, so the current setup represents a modest cool anomaly driven by the recent frontal passage. Key variables for the final minimum include the rate of cloud dissipation and surface wind speeds after 03:00 local time; updated model runs or observational data from local meteorological services will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$6Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to a low temperature in the 13–16°C range for Istanbul on September 24, 2026, after a cool frontal system from the Balkans clears.** Recent heavy rain and northerly winds on September 22–23 dropped daytime highs and set up radiational cooling potential overnight, but Thursday is expected to feature clearing skies, lighter winds, and a building ridge that limits further cooling. Official and model guidance (including GFS runs) shows overnight minima stabilizing near 14–15°C under partly clear conditions, with dew points around 9–11°C and minimal cloud cover after midnight.
The near-even split in market-implied odds between 7°C or below and 17°C or higher reflects uncertainty in the exact timing of clearing and the strength of any residual onshore flow from the Marmara Sea, which can moderate overnight lows. Historical September averages place typical minima near 17°C, so the current setup represents a modest cool anomaly driven by the recent frontal passage. Key variables for the final minimum include the rate of cloud dissipation and surface wind speeds after 03:00 local time; updated model runs or observational data from local meteorological services will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models point to a low temperature in the 13–16°C range for Istanbul on September 24, 2026, after a cool frontal system from the Balkans clears.** Recent heavy rain and northerly winds on September 22–23 dropped daytime highs and set up radiational cooling potential overnight, but Thursday is expected to feature clearing skies, lighter winds, and a building ridge that limits further cooling. Official and model guidance (including GFS runs) shows overnight minima stabilizing near 14–15°C under partly clear conditions, with dew points around 9–11°C and minimal cloud cover after midnight. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 7°C or below and 17°C or higher reflects uncertainty in the exact timing of clearing and the strength of any residual onshore flow from the Marmara Sea, which can moderate overnight lows. Historical September averages place typical minima near 17°C, so the current setup represents a modest cool anomaly driven by the recent frontal passage. Key variables for the final minimum include the rate of cloud dissipation and surface wind speeds after 03:00 local time; updated model runs or observational data from local meteorological services will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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