**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs show a minimum temperature near 12°C for Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by sustained northerly flow advecting milder air ahead of any frontal passage.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies is expected to bottom out in the 12–13°C range, consistent with current surface observations and model soundings showing dew points around 7–9°C and light-to-moderate winds limiting further drops. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 17°C-or-higher bin (44%) and the 7°C-or-below bin (41%), with notable liquidity on exact values such as 12°C (26.5%), reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing that could shift the low by 1–2°C. No major cold-air outbreak or anomalous high-pressure setup has emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this mild spring pattern. Updated model guidance tonight and early tomorrow will provide the next key resolution signals before the market settles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 24?
7°C or below 89%
17°C or higher 79%
16°C 39%
15°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
89%
8°C
8%
9°C
17%
10°C
22%
11°C
24%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
20%
15°C
38%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
79%
7°C or below 89%
17°C or higher 79%
16°C 39%
15°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
$10 Обс.
89%
8°C
$151 Обс.
8%
9°C
$0 Обс.
17%
10°C
$0 Обс.
22%
11°C
$0 Обс.
24%
12°C
$0 Обс.
24%
13°C
$0 Обс.
21%
14°C
$0 Обс.
20%
15°C
$10 Обс.
38%
16°C
$10 Обс.
39%
17°C or higher
$10 Обс.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs show a minimum temperature near 12°C for Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by sustained northerly flow advecting milder air ahead of any frontal passage.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies is expected to bottom out in the 12–13°C range, consistent with current surface observations and model soundings showing dew points around 7–9°C and light-to-moderate winds limiting further drops.
Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 17°C-or-higher bin (44%) and the 7°C-or-below bin (41%), with notable liquidity on exact values such as 12°C (26.5%), reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing that could shift the low by 1–2°C. No major cold-air outbreak or anomalous high-pressure setup has emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this mild spring pattern. Updated model guidance tonight and early tomorrow will provide the next key resolution signals before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$191Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs show a minimum temperature near 12°C for Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by sustained northerly flow advecting milder air ahead of any frontal passage.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies is expected to bottom out in the 12–13°C range, consistent with current surface observations and model soundings showing dew points around 7–9°C and light-to-moderate winds limiting further drops.
Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 17°C-or-higher bin (44%) and the 7°C-or-below bin (41%), with notable liquidity on exact values such as 12°C (26.5%), reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing that could shift the low by 1–2°C. No major cold-air outbreak or anomalous high-pressure setup has emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this mild spring pattern. Updated model guidance tonight and early tomorrow will provide the next key resolution signals before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$191Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS runs show a minimum temperature near 12°C for Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by sustained northerly flow advecting milder air ahead of any frontal passage.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies is expected to bottom out in the 12–13°C range, consistent with current surface observations and model soundings showing dew points around 7–9°C and light-to-moderate winds limiting further drops. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 17°C-or-higher bin (44%) and the 7°C-or-below bin (41%), with notable liquidity on exact values such as 12°C (26.5%), reflecting model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing that could shift the low by 1–2°C. No major cold-air outbreak or anomalous high-pressure setup has emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this mild spring pattern. Updated model guidance tonight and early tomorrow will provide the next key resolution signals before the market settles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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