**Recent forecast model runs and observational trends from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles show a warming pattern after cooler conditions on September 22, with northerly flow and increasing cloud cover moderating overnight radiative cooling for September 23.** Most guidance places the expected minimum between roughly 7–12 °C, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 49 % for 3 °C or below versus 48.5 % for 13 °C or higher. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level wind speeds that could either enhance mixing or allow localized pooling of colder air, plus uncertainty in cloud timing that affects the magnitude of nocturnal temperature drop. Historical September minima in Buenos Aires average near 8–10 °C, but the narrow spread of current model solutions and proximity to the observation window sustain the balanced trader consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 23?
13°C or higher 95%
3°C or below 48%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
3°C or below
48%
4°C
21%
5°C
21%
6°C
21%
7°C
20%
8°C
20%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C or higher
95%
13°C or higher 95%
3°C or below 48%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
3°C or below
$0 Обс.
48%
4°C
$0 Обс.
21%
5°C
$0 Обс.
21%
6°C
$0 Обс.
21%
7°C
$0 Обс.
20%
8°C
$0 Обс.
20%
9°C
$10 Обс.
39%
10°C
$10 Обс.
39%
11°C
$10 Обс.
39%
12°C
$10 Обс.
39%
13°C or higher
$10 Обс.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs and observational trends from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles show a warming pattern after cooler conditions on September 22, with northerly flow and increasing cloud cover moderating overnight radiative cooling for September 23.** Most guidance places the expected minimum between roughly 7–12 °C, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 49 % for 3 °C or below versus 48.5 % for 13 °C or higher. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level wind speeds that could either enhance mixing or allow localized pooling of colder air, plus uncertainty in cloud timing that affects the magnitude of nocturnal temperature drop. Historical September minima in Buenos Aires average near 8–10 °C, but the narrow spread of current model solutions and proximity to the observation window sustain the balanced trader consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$50Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs and observational trends from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles show a warming pattern after cooler conditions on September 22, with northerly flow and increasing cloud cover moderating overnight radiative cooling for September 23.** Most guidance places the expected minimum between roughly 7–12 °C, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 49 % for 3 °C or below versus 48.5 % for 13 °C or higher. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level wind speeds that could either enhance mixing or allow localized pooling of colder air, plus uncertainty in cloud timing that affects the magnitude of nocturnal temperature drop. Historical September minima in Buenos Aires average near 8–10 °C, but the narrow spread of current model solutions and proximity to the observation window sustain the balanced trader consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$50Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast model runs and observational trends from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles show a warming pattern after cooler conditions on September 22, with northerly flow and increasing cloud cover moderating overnight radiative cooling for September 23.** Most guidance places the expected minimum between roughly 7–12 °C, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 49 % for 3 °C or below versus 48.5 % for 13 °C or higher. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level wind speeds that could either enhance mixing or allow localized pooling of colder air, plus uncertainty in cloud timing that affects the magnitude of nocturnal temperature drop. Historical September minima in Buenos Aires average near 8–10 °C, but the narrow spread of current model solutions and proximity to the observation window sustain the balanced trader consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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