Recent forecast consensus from European and global models points to a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 7 around 20–22°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 24°C-or-higher outcome (47.5% implied probability) and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C, reflecting expectations of above-average early-September conditions rather than typical seasonal lows near 17–19°C. No major model shifts or frontal passages have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook, though final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations amid inherent forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 7?
24°C or higher 95%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
14°C or below
18%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C or higher
95%
24°C or higher 95%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
18%
15°C
$0 Обс.
50%
16°C
$0 Обс.
50%
17°C
$0 Обс.
50%
18°C
$0 Обс.
50%
19°C
$0 Обс.
50%
20°C
$0 Обс.
27%
21°C
$0 Обс.
27%
22°C
$0 Обс.
27%
23°C
$0 Обс.
50%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European and global models points to a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 7 around 20–22°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 24°C-or-higher outcome (47.5% implied probability) and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C, reflecting expectations of above-average early-September conditions rather than typical seasonal lows near 17–19°C. No major model shifts or frontal passages have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook, though final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations amid inherent forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European and global models points to a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 7 around 20–22°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 24°C-or-higher outcome (47.5% implied probability) and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C, reflecting expectations of above-average early-September conditions rather than typical seasonal lows near 17–19°C. No major model shifts or frontal passages have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook, though final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations amid inherent forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from European and global models points to a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 7 around 20–22°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 24°C-or-higher outcome (47.5% implied probability) and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C, reflecting expectations of above-average early-September conditions rather than typical seasonal lows near 17–19°C. No major model shifts or frontal passages have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook, though final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations amid inherent forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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