Forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely falling to 19–22°C. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry air advection from the north have kept conditions stable, aligning with historical early-September climatology where Istanbul minima average near 17–20°C. Slight model spread in exact low—driven by minor differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention—explains the closely matched market probabilities around 17–21°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF could shift sentiment if they revise cooling rates or introduce unexpected cloud cover.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
22°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
13°C or below
44%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
50%
23°C or higher
44%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
22°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Обс.
44%
14°C
$0 Обс.
50%
15°C
$0 Обс.
50%
16°C
$0 Обс.
50%
17°C
$0 Обс.
27%
18°C
$0 Обс.
27%
19°C
$0 Обс.
27%
20°C
$0 Обс.
27%
21°C
$10 Обс.
27%
22°C
$0 Обс.
50%
23°C or higher
$0 Обс.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely falling to 19–22°C. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry air advection from the north have kept conditions stable, aligning with historical early-September climatology where Istanbul minima average near 17–20°C. Slight model spread in exact low—driven by minor differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention—explains the closely matched market probabilities around 17–21°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF could shift sentiment if they revise cooling rates or introduce unexpected cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely falling to 19–22°C. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry air advection from the north have kept conditions stable, aligning with historical early-September climatology where Istanbul minima average near 17–20°C. Slight model spread in exact low—driven by minor differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention—explains the closely matched market probabilities around 17–21°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF could shift sentiment if they revise cooling rates or introduce unexpected cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely falling to 19–22°C. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry air advection from the north have kept conditions stable, aligning with historical early-September climatology where Istanbul minima average near 17–20°C. Slight model spread in exact low—driven by minor differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention—explains the closely matched market probabilities around 17–21°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF could shift sentiment if they revise cooling rates or introduce unexpected cloud cover.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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