Official forecasts from Environment Canada project sunny conditions and a daytime maximum near 25 °C for Toronto on September 6, supported by high pressure and moderate easterly flow that favors modest daytime warming close to the 1991–2020 average high of 23.8 °C. Ensemble guidance and GFS runs reinforce this range, with limited cloud cover and light winds expected to prevent significant deviation from seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5 % implied probability for 23 °C and 25.5 % for 22 °C aligns with the lower end of this guidance and historical variability around the date, while the modest odds on 24–25 °C capture upside risk if insolation exceeds model expectations. The next Environment Canada update and final model runs ahead of the 24-hour observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on September 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 6?
23°C 47%
22°C 28%
24°C 14%
21°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
28%
23°C
47%
24°C
14%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
2%
23°C 47%
22°C 28%
24°C 14%
21°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
$20 Обс.
1%
20°C
$99 Обс.
2%
21°C
$702 Обс.
7%
22°C
$319 Обс.
28%
23°C
$457 Обс.
47%
24°C
$383 Обс.
14%
25°C
$124 Обс.
4%
26°C
$37 Обс.
2%
27°C
$141 Обс.
1%
28°C
$1,200 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project sunny conditions and a daytime maximum near 25 °C for Toronto on September 6, supported by high pressure and moderate easterly flow that favors modest daytime warming close to the 1991–2020 average high of 23.8 °C. Ensemble guidance and GFS runs reinforce this range, with limited cloud cover and light winds expected to prevent significant deviation from seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5 % implied probability for 23 °C and 25.5 % for 22 °C aligns with the lower end of this guidance and historical variability around the date, while the modest odds on 24–25 °C capture upside risk if insolation exceeds model expectations. The next Environment Canada update and final model runs ahead of the 24-hour observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,482Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project sunny conditions and a daytime maximum near 25 °C for Toronto on September 6, supported by high pressure and moderate easterly flow that favors modest daytime warming close to the 1991–2020 average high of 23.8 °C. Ensemble guidance and GFS runs reinforce this range, with limited cloud cover and light winds expected to prevent significant deviation from seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5 % implied probability for 23 °C and 25.5 % for 22 °C aligns with the lower end of this guidance and historical variability around the date, while the modest odds on 24–25 °C capture upside risk if insolation exceeds model expectations. The next Environment Canada update and final model runs ahead of the 24-hour observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,482Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada project sunny conditions and a daytime maximum near 25 °C for Toronto on September 6, supported by high pressure and moderate easterly flow that favors modest daytime warming close to the 1991–2020 average high of 23.8 °C. Ensemble guidance and GFS runs reinforce this range, with limited cloud cover and light winds expected to prevent significant deviation from seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5 % implied probability for 23 °C and 25.5 % for 22 °C aligns with the lower end of this guidance and historical variability around the date, while the modest odds on 24–25 °C capture upside risk if insolation exceeds model expectations. The next Environment Canada update and final model runs ahead of the 24-hour observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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