**Current forecasts from official and commercial models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah near 30–32°C on September 12, 2026, supporting the 97% market-implied probability for a daily minimum of 32°C.** Persistent Red Sea moisture and elevated dew points near 26–27°C limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, consistent with September climatology where typical minima range 27–29°C but recent model runs show warmer conditions. NOAA and regional guidance project stable steering patterns with minimal frontal influence or thunderstorm activity that could enhance cooling. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow the minimum to dip toward 29–30°C, though such revisions remain low-probability given model consensus and the absence of incoming disturbances.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 12?
26°C 100%
24°C or below 98%
32°C 97%
30°C 10%
24°C or below
98%
25°C
2%
26°C
100%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
21%
32°C
97%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100%
24°C or below 98%
32°C 97%
30°C 10%
24°C or below
98%
25°C
2%
26°C
100%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
21%
32°C
97%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from official and commercial models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah near 30–32°C on September 12, 2026, supporting the 97% market-implied probability for a daily minimum of 32°C.** Persistent Red Sea moisture and elevated dew points near 26–27°C limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, consistent with September climatology where typical minima range 27–29°C but recent model runs show warmer conditions. NOAA and regional guidance project stable steering patterns with minimal frontal influence or thunderstorm activity that could enhance cooling. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow the minimum to dip toward 29–30°C, though such revisions remain low-probability given model consensus and the absence of incoming disturbances.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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