Recent forecast models and surface observations point to enhanced overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, positioning the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport station minimum near 13–14 °C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with the market-implied 70 % probability for 14 °C and secondary support for 13 °C, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-autumn climatology where daily lows average 17–18 °C but can dip lower with reduced cloud cover and dew points in the low teens. Warmer alternatives above 15 °C carry negligible odds given the absence of strong warm-air advection, while the modest 21.5 % on 12 °C or below accounts for residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum from the station’s observations table, with final data expected shortly after local midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jinan on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 23?
13°C 45%
12°C or below 30%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
12°C or below
30%
13°C
45%
14°C
70%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
13°C 45%
12°C or below 30%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
12°C or below
$10 Обс.
30%
13°C
$42 Обс.
45%
14°C
$83 Обс.
70%
15°C
$131 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$131 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$131 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and surface observations point to enhanced overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, positioning the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport station minimum near 13–14 °C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with the market-implied 70 % probability for 14 °C and secondary support for 13 °C, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-autumn climatology where daily lows average 17–18 °C but can dip lower with reduced cloud cover and dew points in the low teens. Warmer alternatives above 15 °C carry negligible odds given the absence of strong warm-air advection, while the modest 21.5 % on 12 °C or below accounts for residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum from the station’s observations table, with final data expected shortly after local midnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$653Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and surface observations point to enhanced overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, positioning the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport station minimum near 13–14 °C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with the market-implied 70 % probability for 14 °C and secondary support for 13 °C, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-autumn climatology where daily lows average 17–18 °C but can dip lower with reduced cloud cover and dew points in the low teens. Warmer alternatives above 15 °C carry negligible odds given the absence of strong warm-air advection, while the modest 21.5 % on 12 °C or below accounts for residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum from the station’s observations table, with final data expected shortly after local midnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$653Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models and surface observations point to enhanced overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, positioning the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport station minimum near 13–14 °C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with the market-implied 70 % probability for 14 °C and secondary support for 13 °C, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-autumn climatology where daily lows average 17–18 °C but can dip lower with reduced cloud cover and dew points in the low teens. Warmer alternatives above 15 °C carry negligible odds given the absence of strong warm-air advection, while the modest 21.5 % on 12 °C or below accounts for residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum from the station’s observations table, with final data expected shortly after local midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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