Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 6 most likely between 14°C and 15°C under high pressure with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Overnight radiative cooling will be moderated by mild air advection and dew points near 11–13°C, limiting the drop below 14°C while daytime highs reach the mid-20s. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on 15°C and 14°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range UK temperature predictions. Updated model runs tonight could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 6?
Lowest temperature in London on September 6?
15°C 49%
14°C 33%
16°C 8%
13°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
33%
15°C
49%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 49%
14°C 33%
16°C 8%
13°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$115 Обс.
1%
13°C
$133 Обс.
4%
14°C
$1,450 Обс.
33%
15°C
$791 Обс.
49%
16°C
$582 Обс.
8%
17°C
$7 Обс.
3%
18°C
$22 Обс.
1%
19°C
$22 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$49 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 6 most likely between 14°C and 15°C under high pressure with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Overnight radiative cooling will be moderated by mild air advection and dew points near 11–13°C, limiting the drop below 14°C while daytime highs reach the mid-20s. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on 15°C and 14°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range UK temperature predictions. Updated model runs tonight could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,171Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 6 most likely between 14°C and 15°C under high pressure with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Overnight radiative cooling will be moderated by mild air advection and dew points near 11–13°C, limiting the drop below 14°C while daytime highs reach the mid-20s. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on 15°C and 14°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range UK temperature predictions. Updated model runs tonight could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,171Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 6 most likely between 14°C and 15°C under high pressure with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies. Overnight radiative cooling will be moderated by mild air advection and dew points near 11–13°C, limiting the drop below 14°C while daytime highs reach the mid-20s. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on 15°C and 14°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range UK temperature predictions. Updated model runs tonight could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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